Radnicki 1923
vs
Novi Pazar
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Radnicki 1923 1–0 Novi Pazar
The model makes it 47% Radnicki 1923, 28% draw, 25% Novi Pazar — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Radnicki 1923 1.58, Novi Pazar 1.00.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%, under 2.5: 52%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Key facts
- Radnicki 1923 are 5th on 17 points from 11 games; Novi Pazar are 9th on 13 points from 11 games — Super Liga.
- Radnicki 1923 have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat away to Vojvodina.
- Novi Pazar are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat away to FK Partizan.
- Last 6 meetings: Novi Pazar 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 18 July 2026, ended Novi Pazar 1–0 Radnicki 1923.
More Serbian SuperLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Radnicki 1923 vs Novi Pazar
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Radnicki 1923 at 47% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 1,906 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Radnicki 1923 vs Novi Pazar
Radnicki 1923
- L0-2away to Vojvodina17 October 2026
- L0-3FK Crvena Zvezda10 October 2026
- W5-3away to OFK Beograd19 September 2026
- W5-0Mladost Lucani12 September 2026
- D0-0away to Macva5 September 2026
Novi Pazar
- L0-1away to FK Partizan11 October 2026
- D2-2Zemun19 September 2026
- D1-1away to Cukaricki12 September 2026
- W2-0Železničar Pančevo4 September 2026
- D1-1Macva29 August 2026
What these results say
- Novi Pazar failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Novi Pazar scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Novi Pazar conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Radnicki 1923 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Radnicki 1923 vs Novi Pazar
- 18 July 2026Novi Pazar 1–0 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
- 23 November 2025Radnicki 1923 0–0 Novi PazarSuper Liga
- 24 September 2025Novi Pazar 1–1 Radnicki 1923Super Liga
- 10 May 2025Radnicki 1923 2–3 Novi PazarSuper Liga
- 27 February 2025Radnicki 1923 2–0 Novi PazarSuper Liga
- 4 December 2024Novi Pazar 2–0 Radnicki 1923Cup
Leading scorers: Radnicki 1923 and Novi Pazar
Radnicki 1923
GoalsAssists
- M. Cissé41
- U. Sremčević40
- D. Buchta31
Novi Pazar
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Radnicki 1923 carry a model rating of 6.34 against 6.22 for Novi Pazar. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.58 goals for Radnicki 1923 and 1.00 for Novi Pazar. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Radnicki 1923 rate 0.58 in attack and 1.61 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Novi Pazar rate 0.48 and 1.70.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Radnicki 1923 the highest probability at 47%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.58 expected goals for Radnicki 1923 against 1.00 for Novi Pazar. Radnicki 1923's attack/defence rating is 0.58/1.61 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.48/1.7 for Novi Pazar.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Radnicki 1923 at home · Novi Pazar away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Radnicki 1923 11, Novi Pazar 11.
Radnicki 1923 score most often in the 0–15 minute window (5 goals); Novi Pazar have let in 1 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Radnicki 1923
- at Železničar Pančevo7 Nov · Super Ligawin 25%
- vs Cukaricki21 Nov · Super Ligawin 48%
- at Zemun28 Nov · Super Ligawin 54%
Novi Pazar
- vs Mladost Lucani7 Nov · Super Ligawin 43%
- at OFK Beograd21 Nov · Super Ligawin 30%
- vs FK Crvena Zvezda28 Nov · Super Ligawin 15%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.