FK Partizan
vs
Zemun
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: FK Partizan 2–0 Zemun
The model makes it 73% FK Partizan, 17% draw, 10% Zemun — fair odds of 1.37, 5.88 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (10%).
Expected goals: FK Partizan 2.91, Zemun 0.84.
Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 72%, under 2.5: 28%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: FK Partizan are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Key facts
- FK Partizan are 10th on 11 points from 10 games; Zemun are bottom on 3 points from 12 games — Super Liga.
- FK Partizan have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Novi Pazar.
- Zemun have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat away to Cukaricki.
- Last 6 meetings: FK Partizan 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 18 July 2026, ended Zemun 2–2 FK Partizan.
More Serbian SuperLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FK Partizan vs Zemun
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FK Partizan at 73% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 332 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 63.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.9%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
Form going into FK Partizan vs Zemun
FK Partizan
- W1-0Novi Pazar11 October 2026
- D4-4away to Radnik Surdulica19 September 2026
- L2-3Vojvodina13 September 2026
- L1-2away to FK Crvena Zvezda6 September 2026
- W3-1OFK Beograd31 August 2026
Zemun
- L0-3away to Cukaricki17 October 2026
- L0-3Železničar Pančevo11 October 2026
- D2-2away to Novi Pazar19 September 2026
- D1-1Radnik Surdulica14 September 2026
- L1-2away to Vojvodina6 September 2026
What these results say
- FK Partizan scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FK Partizan conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FK Partizan had three goals or more.
- Zemun did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Zemun conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Zemun had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FK Partizan | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Zemun | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 25 | -19 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: FK Partizan vs Zemun
- 18 July 2026Zemun 2–2 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- 22 May 2020FK Partizan 2–1 ZemunFriendlies Clubs
- 5 December 2018FK Partizan 1–0 ZemunSuper Liga
- 12 August 2018Zemun 0–1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- 25 February 2018FK Partizan 1–1 ZemunSuper Liga
- 25 October 2017Zemun 1–3 FK PartizanSuper Liga
Leading scorers: FK Partizan and Zemun
FK Partizan
GoalsAssists
- E. Kojzek32
Zemun
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
FK Partizan carry a model rating of 6.41 against 5.88 for Zemun. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.91 goals for FK Partizan and 0.84 for Zemun. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FK Partizan rate 0.76 in attack and 1.91 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Zemun rate 0.34 and 2.39.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FK Partizan the highest probability at 73%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.91 expected goals for FK Partizan against 0.84 for Zemun. FK Partizan's attack/defence rating is 0.76/1.91 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.34/2.39 for Zemun.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
FK Partizan at home · Zemun away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: FK Partizan 10, Zemun 12.
FK Partizan score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Zemun have let in 3 there.
Zemun score most often in the 46–60 minute window (2 goals); FK Partizan have let in 5 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
FK Partizan
- vs Macva7 Nov · Super Ligawin 61%
- at IMT Novi Beograd21 Nov · Super Ligawin 31%
Zemun
- vs IMT Novi Beograd7 Nov · Super Ligawin 18%
- at Radnicki NIS21 Nov · Super Ligawin 20%
- vs Radnicki 192328 Nov · Super Ligawin 20%
- at Mladost Lucani6 Dec · Super Ligawin 19%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.