FK Košice
vs
Dunajska Streda
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: FK Košice 1–2 Dunajska Streda
The model makes it 23% FK Košice, 23% draw, 54% Dunajska Streda — fair odds of 4.35, 4.35 and 1.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (9%).
Expected goals: FK Košice 1.32, Dunajska Streda 2.25.
Both teams to score: 66%. Over 2.5 goals: 69%, under 2.5: 31%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Dunajska Streda are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Key facts
- FK Košice are 6th on 13 points from 9 games; Dunajska Streda are top on 23 points from 9 games — Super Liga.
- FK Košice have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Komárno.
- Dunajska Streda are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 3-0 win away to Zemplín Michalovce.
- Last 6 meetings: Dunajska Streda 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 4 March 2026, ended FK Košice 4–0 Dunajska Streda.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FK Košice vs Dunajska Streda
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dunajska Streda at 54% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FK Košice vs Dunajska Streda
FK Košice
- D1-1Komárno10 October 2026
- W2-0Ružomberok19 September 2026
- L2-5away to Spartak Trnava12 September 2026
- W3-0Dukla Banská Bystrica6 September 2026
- D2-2away to Podbrezová29 August 2026
Dunajska Streda
- W3-0away to Zemplín Michalovce10 October 2026
- D2-2Spartak Trnava20 September 2026
- W4-1away to AS Trencin12 September 2026
- W2-0Slovan Bratislava5 September 2026
- W6-1away to Skalica30 August 2026
What these results say
- FK Košice scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dunajska Streda went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Dunajska Streda scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dunajska Streda won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FK Košice | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 13 |
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 5 | +23 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: FK Košice vs Dunajska Streda
- 4 March 2026FK Košice 4–0 Dunajska StredaCup
- 1 November 2025Dunajska Streda 3–1 FK KošiceSuper Liga
- 1 October 2025FK Košice 0–2 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
- 20 April 2025Dunajska Streda 3–2 FK KošiceSuper Liga
- 29 March 2025FK Košice 2–2 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
- 26 October 2024Dunajska Streda 1–3 FK KošiceSuper Liga
The two sides
FK Košice carry a model rating of 6.36 against 6.76 for Dunajska Streda. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.32 goals for FK Košice and 2.25 for Dunajska Streda. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FK Košice rate 0.74 in attack and 2.05 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Dunajska Streda rate 0.91 and 1.10.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FK Košice a 0.1% chance of the title and Dunajska Streda 75.3%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,776 correct results out of 3,725 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Dunajska Streda the highest probability at 54%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.32 expected goals for FK Košice against 2.25 for Dunajska Streda. FK Košice's attack/defence rating is 0.74/2.05 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.91/1.1 for Dunajska Streda.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
FK Košice at home · Dunajska Streda away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: FK Košice 9, Dunajska Streda 9.
Dunajska Streda score most often in the 61–75 minute window (7 goals); FK Košice have let in 5 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
FK Košice
- at AS Trencin31 Oct · Super Ligawin 42%
- at Dunajska Streda7 Nov · Super Ligawin 12%
- vs Skalica21 Nov · Super Ligawin 55%
Dunajska Streda
- at Dukla Banská Bystrica1 Nov · Super Ligawin 62%
- vs FK Košice7 Nov · Super Ligawin 72%
- vs Komárno21 Nov · Super Ligawin 70%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.