Radnicki NIS
vs
Železničar Pančevo
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Radnicki NIS 0–1 Železničar Pančevo
The model makes it 25% Radnicki NIS, 27% draw, 48% Železničar Pančevo — fair odds of 4.00, 3.70 and 2.08. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Radnicki NIS 1.01, Železničar Pančevo 1.61.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.
Model confidence: Medium.
One-sided: Železničar Pančevo are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Key facts
- Radnicki NIS are 13th on 8 points from 11 games; Železničar Pančevo are 4th on 17 points from 10 games — Super Liga.
- Radnicki NIS are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 0-3 defeat away to Radnik Surdulica.
- Železničar Pančevo have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-0 win away to Zemun.
- Last 6 meetings: Radnicki NIS 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 17 July 2026, ended Železničar Pančevo 2–1 Radnicki NIS.
More Serbian SuperLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Radnicki NIS vs Železničar Pančevo
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Železničar Pančevo at 48% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 1,906 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Radnicki NIS vs Železničar Pančevo
Radnicki NIS
- L0-3away to Radnik Surdulica16 October 2026
- L1-4Vojvodina11 October 2026
- L0-3away to FK Crvena Zvezda20 September 2026
- W3-1OFK Beograd13 September 2026
- L0-1away to Mladost Lucani5 September 2026
Železničar Pančevo
- W3-0away to Zemun11 October 2026
- W2-1Cukaricki20 September 2026
- L1-2FK Crvena Zvezda17 September 2026
- W2-0Macva11 September 2026
- L0-2away to Novi Pazar4 September 2026
What these results say
- Radnicki NIS conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Radnicki NIS failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Radnicki NIS had three goals or more.
- Železničar Pančevo scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Radnicki NIS | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 8 |
| 4 | Železničar Pančevo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Radnicki NIS vs Železničar Pančevo
- 17 July 2026Železničar Pančevo 2–1 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
- 20 December 2025Radnicki NIS 1–0 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
- 17 August 2025Železničar Pančevo 3–0 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
- 28 April 2025Železničar Pančevo 1–2 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
- 2 February 2025Železničar Pančevo 0–0 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
- 24 August 2024Radnicki NIS 2–1 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Radnicki NIS and Železničar Pančevo
Radnicki NIS
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Železničar Pančevo
GoalsAssists
- K. Kwaku42
- S. Pedro24
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Radnicki NIS carry a model rating of 6.12 against 6.46 for Železničar Pančevo. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.01 goals for Radnicki NIS and 1.61 for Železničar Pančevo. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Radnicki NIS rate 0.45 in attack and 1.95 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Železničar Pančevo rate 0.64 and 1.40.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Radnicki NIS a 0% chance of the title and Železničar Pančevo 0.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Železničar Pančevo the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.01 expected goals for Radnicki NIS against 1.61 for Železničar Pančevo. Radnicki NIS's attack/defence rating is 0.45/1.95 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.64/1.4 for Železničar Pančevo.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Radnicki NIS at home · Železničar Pančevo away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Radnicki NIS 11, Železničar Pančevo 10.
Železničar Pančevo score most often in the 61–75 minute window (6 goals); Radnicki NIS have let in 3 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Radnicki NIS
- at Cukaricki7 Nov · Super Ligawin 25%
- vs Zemun21 Nov · Super Ligawin 53%
- at FK Partizan28 Nov · Super Ligawin 18%
Železničar Pančevo
- vs Radnicki 19237 Nov · Super Ligawin 48%
- at Mladost Lucani21 Nov · Super Ligawin 45%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.