Nyiregyhaza
vs
Gyori ETO FC
NB I prediction
Our model says: Nyiregyhaza 1–2 Gyori ETO FC
The model makes it 22% Nyiregyhaza, 25% draw, 53% Gyori ETO FC — fair odds of 4.55, 4.00 and 1.89. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Nyiregyhaza 1.09, Gyori ETO FC 1.94.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,486 settled matches.
One-sided: Gyori ETO FC are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 24 October 2026. Nyiregyhaza's rating is built from 43 Hungarian NB I matches and Gyori ETO FC's from 43, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 455 matches.
Key facts
- Nyiregyhaza are bottom on 8 points from 10 games; Gyori ETO FC are 2nd on 18 points from 10 games — NB I.
- Nyiregyhaza have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Budapest Honved.
- Gyori ETO FC have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to Paks.
- Last 6 meetings: Gyori ETO FC 5 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 2 August 2026, ended Gyori ETO FC 4–0 Nyiregyhaza.
More Hungarian NB I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gyori ETO FC at 53% here. Across 4,534 settled matches (as of 24 October 2026), 1,113 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC
Nyiregyhaza
NB I
- L0-1Budapest Honved17 October 2026
- L1-5away to Zalaegerszegi TE11 October 2026
- D1-1Ferencvarosi TC20 September 2026
- L2-3away to Vasas4 September 2026
- D1-1Paks29 August 2026
Gyori ETO FC
NB I
- W2-1away to Paks17 October 2026
- L0-1Puskas Academy11 October 2026
- W2-1away to MTK Budapest20 September 2026
- W3-2Budapest Honved6 September 2026
- L0-3Ferencvarosi TC3 September 2026
What these results say
- Nyiregyhaza did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Nyiregyhaza conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Nyiregyhaza scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gyori ETO FC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Gyori ETO FC had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NB I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nyiregyhaza | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 8 |
| 2 | Gyori ETO FC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Nyiregyhaza vs Gyori ETO FC
- 2 August 2026Gyori ETO FC 4–0 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 5 April 2026Gyori ETO FC 1–0 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 13 December 2025Nyiregyhaza 0–1 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 31 August 2025Gyori ETO FC 1–0 NyiregyhazaNB I
- 8 March 2025Nyiregyhaza 0–1 Gyori ETO FCNB I
- 2 November 2024Gyori ETO FC 1–1 NyiregyhazaNB I
Leading scorers: Nyiregyhaza and Gyori ETO FC
Nyiregyhaza
No player in NB I's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Gyori ETO FC
GoalsAssists
- V. Đukanović30
- M. Huszár21
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Nyiregyhaza carry a model rating of 6.28 against 6.65 for Gyori ETO FC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.09 goals for Nyiregyhaza and 1.94 for Gyori ETO FC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Nyiregyhaza rate 0.57 in attack and 1.79 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Gyori ETO FC rate 0.77 and 1.15.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Nyiregyhaza a 0% chance of the title and Gyori ETO FC 31.5%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,192 correct results out of 4,558 settled predictions (48%), with 452 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Gyori ETO FC the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.09 expected goals for Nyiregyhaza against 1.94 for Gyori ETO FC. Nyiregyhaza's attack/defence rating is 0.57/1.79 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.77/1.15 for Gyori ETO FC.
How the model reaches 53% for Gyori ETO FC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for Gyori ETO FC to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, Nyiregyhaza's ratings add 33 points and Gyori ETO FC's ratings take away 12 points, which lands on the published 53%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage32%−5
- Nyiregyhaza's ratings65%+33
- Gyori ETO FC's ratings53%−12
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Nyiregyhaza at home · Gyori ETO FC away
League matches only, NB I, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
NyiregyhazaGyori ETO FC
Nyiregyhaza are 12th after 10 NB I matches (between 1st and 12th so far); Gyori ETO FC are 2nd after 10 (between 1st and 6th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All NB I matches this season: Nyiregyhaza 10, Gyori ETO FC 10.
Gyori ETO FC score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Nyiregyhaza have let in 6 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Nyiregyhaza
- vs Debreceni VSC21 Nov · NB Iwin 30%
- at Kisvarda FC28 Nov · NB Iwin 28%
- vs MTK Budapest5 Dec · NB Iwin 36%
Gyori ETO FC
- at Ferencvarosi TC21 Nov · NB Iwin 31%
- vs Debreceni VSC28 Nov · NB Iwin 50%
- at Zalaegerszegi TE5 Dec · NB Iwin 48%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.