Regular Season - 14 · 29 November 2026, 11:00 UTC

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs LNZ Cherkasy Premier League prediction

Tonkocheyev Stadium, Kamianets-Podilskyi

Our model says: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0–1 LNZ Cherkasy

The model makes it 29% Epitsentr Dunayivtsi, 30% draw, 41% LNZ Cherkasy — fair odds of 3.45, 3.33 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Expected goals: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 1.01, LNZ Cherkasy 1.31.

Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 41%, under 2.5: 59%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.

Edge to LNZ Cherkasy: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.

Published

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's rating is built from 42 Ukrainian Premier League matches and LNZ Cherkasy's from 41, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.

Key facts

  • Epitsentr Dunayivtsi are 10th on 10 points from 12 games; LNZ Cherkasy are 6th on 18 points from 11 games — Premier League.
  • Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Kryvbas KR.
  • LNZ Cherkasy are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to Zorya Luhansk.
  • Last 6 meetings: LNZ Cherkasy 5 wins to 0, 1 draw; the most recent, 29 March 2026, ended Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0–2 LNZ Cherkasy.

More Ukrainian Premier League predictions

All Ukrainian Premier League predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs LNZ Cherkasy

47%
Both teams to score
41%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi win Draw LNZ Cherkasy win
  1. 1–114%
  2. 0–112%
  3. 0–010%
  4. 1–09%
  5. 1–29%
  6. 0–28%
  7. 2–17%

Scores read Epitsentr Dunayivtsi first; the other scorelines share the remaining 31%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

LNZ Cherkasy at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs LNZ Cherkasy

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Premier League

  • D1-1Kryvbas KR7 November 2026
  • L0-1away to Zorya Luhansk2 November 2026
  • L1-2FC Kharkiv24 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Karpaty18 October 2026
  • L1-3away to Kolos Kovalivka10 October 2026

LNZ Cherkasy

Premier League

  • W2-1away to Zorya Luhansk8 November 2026
  • D0-0away to Livyi Bereh24 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Kryvbas KR18 October 2026
  • W2-1Kudrivka11 October 2026
  • L0-3away to Shakhtar Donetsk20 September 2026

What these results say

  • Epitsentr Dunayivtsi did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Epitsentr Dunayivtsi conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Epitsentr Dunayivtsi scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for LNZ Cherkasy had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ukraine Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Epitsentr Dunayivtsi122461116-510
6LNZ Cherkasy115331210+218

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Chance to finish in the bottom four · 45% today

Win 33%
Draw 45%
Defeat 51%

LNZ Cherkasy

Chance to finish in the top four · 19% today

Win 24%
Draw 16%
Defeat 14%

From our Premier League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi vs LNZ Cherkasy

  • 29 March 2026Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0–2 LNZ CherkasyFriendlies Clubs
  • 21 February 2026Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0–2 LNZ CherkasyPremier League
  • 9 August 2025LNZ Cherkasy 1–0 Epitsentr DunayivtsiPremier League
  • 13 May 2023Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0–2 LNZ CherkasyPersha Liga
  • 14 April 2023LNZ Cherkasy 2–0 Epitsentr DunayivtsiPersha Liga
  • 13 November 2021LNZ Cherkasy 1–1 Epitsentr DunayivtsiDruha Liga - Group A

Leading scorers: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi and LNZ Cherkasy

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

GoalsAssists

  • A. Kozak33
  • V. Sydun30

LNZ Cherkasy

GoalsAssists

  • P. Yade40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Epitsentr Dunayivtsi a 0% chance of the title and LNZ Cherkasy 0.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi LNZ Cherkasy
0.55 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.62
1.75 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.13
1.01 Model expected goals (this match) 1.31

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives LNZ Cherkasy the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.01 expected goals for Epitsentr Dunayivtsi against 1.31 for LNZ Cherkasy. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's attack/defence rating is 0.55/1.75 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.13 for LNZ Cherkasy.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi carry a model rating of 6.27 against 6.57 for LNZ Cherkasy.

How the model reaches 41% for LNZ Cherkasy to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for LNZ Cherkasy to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's ratings add 7 points and LNZ Cherkasy's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 41%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage29%−7
  3. Both sides at this match's level28%−1
  4. Epitsentr Dunayivtsi's ratings35%+7
  5. LNZ Cherkasy's ratings41%+6

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

Epitsentr DunayivtsiLNZ Cherkasy
12Matches11
2W 4D 6LRecord5W 3D 3L
11 0.9 per gameGoals scored12 1.1 per game
16 1.3 per gameGoals conceded10 0.9 per game
4 of 12Clean sheets5 of 11
6 of 12Failed to score6 of 11
2 of 2Penalties scored3 of 3
24 2.0 per gameYellow cards20 1.8 per game
0Red cards2
4-1-4-1 4×Usual shape4-3-3 2×

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi at home · LNZ Cherkasy away

7Played7
1W 3D 3LRecord2W 3D 2L
5–7Goals for – against5–7
3 of 7Clean sheets4 of 7

League matches only, Premier League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Premier League matches this season: Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 12, LNZ Cherkasy 11.

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi scored 103142
LNZ Cherkasy conceded 000064

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi score most often in the 61–75 minute window (4 goals); LNZ Cherkasy have let in 6 there.

LNZ Cherkasy scored 502311
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi conceded 022516

LNZ Cherkasy score most often in the 0–15 minute window (5 goals); Epitsentr Dunayivtsi have let in 0 there.

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 4 matches, by difficulty

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

  • at Polessya5 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 11%
  • at Obolon'-Brovar12 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 36%
  • at Shakhtar Donetsk27 Feb · Premier Leaguewin 7%
  • at Veres Rivne6 Mar · Premier Leaguewin 35%

LNZ Cherkasy

  • vs Kolos Kovalivka5 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 48%
  • vs Bukovyna12 Dec · Premier Leaguewin 51%
  • vs Karpaty27 Feb · Premier Leaguewin 38%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.