Kawkab Marrakech
vs
Wydad AC
Botola Pro prediction
Our model says: Kawkab Marrakech 1–0 Wydad AC
The model makes it 42% Kawkab Marrakech, 31% draw, 27% Wydad AC — fair odds of 2.38, 3.23 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0 (15%).
Expected goals: Kawkab Marrakech 1.20, Wydad AC 0.85.
Both teams to score: 41%. Over 2.5 goals: 34%, under 2.5: 66%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 45% of the time, over 2,115 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 24 October 2026. Kawkab Marrakech's rating is built from 34 Botola Pro matches and Wydad AC's from 34, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 518 matches.
Key facts
- Kawkab Marrakech are top on 9 points from 4 games; Wydad AC are 9th on 5 points from 4 games — Botola Pro.
- Kawkab Marrakech are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to Widad Témara.
- Wydad AC are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Amal Tiznit.
- Last 6 meetings: Wydad AC 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 25 April 2026, ended Kawkab Marrakech 0–0 Wydad AC.
More Botola Pro predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad AC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Kawkab Marrakech at 42% here. Across 4,534 settled matches (as of 24 October 2026), 2,103 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad AC
Kawkab Marrakech
Botola Pro
- W1-0away to Widad Témara18 October 2026
- W2-1Ittihad Tanger10 October 2026
- W1-0away to CODM Meknès3 October 2026
- L2-3Hassania Agadir27 September 2026
Wydad AC
Botola Pro
- D1-1Amal Tiznit18 October 2026
- D0-0CODM Meknès11 October 2026
- W2-0away to Difaa EL Jadida3 October 2026
- L1-3Widad Témara26 September 2026
What these results say
- Kawkab Marrakech scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Kawkab Marrakech won 3 of these 4 matches.
- Wydad AC failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Wydad AC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Wydad AC had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kawkab Marrakech | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Wydad AC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad AC
- 25 April 2026Kawkab Marrakech 0–0 Wydad ACBotola Pro
- 12 September 2025Wydad AC 1–0 Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
- 9 June 2019Kawkab Marrakech 3–3 Wydad ACBotola Pro
- 27 January 2019Wydad AC 3–1 Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
- 21 April 2018Wydad AC 4–1 Kawkab MarrakechBotola Pro
- 8 January 2018Kawkab Marrakech 2–1 Wydad ACBotola Pro
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Kawkab Marrakech carry a model rating of 6.39 against 6.26 for Wydad AC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects a tight, low-scoring game
Under the hood the model expects 1.20 goals for Kawkab Marrakech and 0.85 for Wydad AC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Kawkab Marrakech rate 0.55 in attack and 1.41 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Wydad AC rate 0.54 and 1.76.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,192 correct results out of 4,558 settled predictions (48%), with 452 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Kawkab Marrakech the highest probability at 42%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.20 expected goals for Kawkab Marrakech against 0.85 for Wydad AC. Kawkab Marrakech's attack/defence rating is 0.55/1.41 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.54/1.76 for Wydad AC.
How the model reaches 42% for Kawkab Marrakech to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 35% for Kawkab Marrakech to win. Then home advantage adds 2 points, Kawkab Marrakech's ratings take away 19 points and Wydad AC's ratings add 24 points, which lands on the published 42%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground35%
- Home advantage37%+2
- Kawkab Marrakech's ratings18%−19
- Wydad AC's ratings42%+24
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Season stats
Kawkab Marrakech at home · Wydad AC away
League matches only, Botola Pro, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
Kawkab MarrakechWydad AC
Kawkab Marrakech are 1st after 4 Botola Pro matches (between 1st and 11th so far); Wydad AC are 9th after 4 (between 8th and 15th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Botola Pro matches this season: Kawkab Marrakech 4, Wydad AC 4.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.