11 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Kaunas
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Kauno Žalgiris 1-2 Dinamo Zagreb.

Before kick-off the model made it 26% Kauno Žalgiris, 27% draw, 47% Dinamo Zagreb — fair odds of 3.85, 3.70 and 2.13.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Champions League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Dinamo Zagreb 5–0 Kauno Žalgiris (4 Aug) →

Dinamo Zagreb went through 7–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Dinamo Zagreb at 47%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kauno Žalgiris0%Draw4%Dinamo Zagreb96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Anton Tolordava
10'
Joris Moutachy
11'
19'
⚽L. Kacavendaassist: D. Beljo
30'
⚽J. Misic
32'
Ivan Filipović
34'
🔁M. Lisicaout: I. Nevistic
🔁Renan Oliveiraout: G. Debeljuh
46'
46'
🔁M. Perez Vinlofout: B. Goda
46'
🔁L. Stojkovicout: G. Vidovic
54'
Dion Drena Beljo
⚽G. Debeljuh
56'
🔁L. Krekovicout: Leo Ribeiro
57'
🔁M. Burbaout: I. Fiolic
57'
61'
🔁D. Beljoout: F. Topic
🔁F. Baldassarraout: A. Kalik
66'
72'
🔁L. Kacavendaout: N. Galesic
🔁A. Benchaibout: F. Ourega
79'

Match stats — Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb

61%Possession39%
7On target5
8Corners1

Line-ups

Kauno Žalgiris 4-1-4-1
  • 22D. MikelionisG
  • 45J. MoutachyD
  • 3A. TolordavaD
  • 77R. LekiatasD
  • 33M. KonatarD
  • 32F. BaldassarraM
  • 24M. BurbaF
  • 7A. BenchaibF
  • 14V. SlivkaM
  • 9L. KrekovicM
  • 19Renan OliveiraF
Substitutes
  • 55T. SvedkauskasG
  • 8Y. KarashimaM
  • 10G. SirgedasM
  • 15Leo RibeiroM
  • 17I. FiolicM
  • 20A. KalikM
  • 23A. HernandezD
  • 27G. DebeljuhF
  • 37N. Iyobosa EdokpolorD
Coach: Eivinas Cerniauskas
Dinamo Zagreb 4-3-3
  • 44I. FilipovicG
  • 25M. ValincicD
  • 36S. DominguezD
  • 26S. McKennaD
  • 22M. Perez VinlofD
  • 80L. KacavendaM
  • 27J. MisicM
  • 7L. StojkovicM
  • 21M. LisicaM
  • 9D. BeljoF
  • 99M. OrsicM
Substitutes
  • 1D. ZagoracG
  • 33I. NevisticG
  • 3B. GodaD
  • 6S. RadeljicD
  • 8M. ZajcM
  • 10G. VidovicM
  • 11A. HoxhaF
  • 13P. TabinasD
  • 14S. PrevljakF
Coach: Mario Kovacevic

Form going into Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb

Kauno Žalgiris

All competitions we cover

  • L0-5away to Dinamo Zagreb4 August 2026
  • W1-0KI Klaksvik29 July 2026
  • D0-0away to KI Klaksvik21 July 2026

Dinamo Zagreb

All competitions we cover

  • W5-0Kauno Žalgiris4 August 2026
  • W2-0NK Slaven Belupo31 July 2026
  • W3-2FC Thun28 July 2026
  • D1-1away to FC Thun21 July 2026

What these results say

  • Dinamo Zagreb went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Dinamo Zagreb scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Dinamo Zagreb won 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb

  • 4 August 2026Dinamo Zagreb 5–0 Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Champions League

The result against the call

Dinamo Zagreb won 2–1 at Kauno Žalgiris. The model had made a win for Dinamo Zagreb its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: L. Kacavenda 19' for Dinamo Zagreb, J. Misic 30' for Dinamo Zagreb, G. Debeljuh 56' for Kauno Žalgiris. Sent off: Ivan Filipović (Dinamo Zagreb) 32'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.