Slovan Bratislava
vs
Mjallby AIF
The model makes it 48% Slovan Bratislava, 23% draw, 29% Mjallby AIF — fair odds of 2.08, 4.35 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Slovan Bratislava 2.00, Mjallby AIF 1.52.
Both teams to score: 68%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%, under 2.5: 32%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Form going into this match
Slovan Bratislava
No earlier matches on record this season.
Mjallby AIF
- L1-2away to Kalmar FF25 July 2026
- D0-0Vasteras SK FK17 July 2026
- L1-2AIK Stockholm11 July 2026
- D4-4away to Sirius3 July 2026
- D1-1away to IFK Goteborg25 May 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context.
Head-to-head: Slovan Bratislava vs Mjallby AIF
- 4 August 2026Mjallby AIF 1–2 Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Slovan Bratislava carry a model rating of 6.54 against 6.57 for Mjallby AIF. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
Recent form (most recent last): Slovan Bratislava W-D-W; Mjallby AIF D-D-L-D-L.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.00 goals for Slovan Bratislava and 1.52 for Mjallby AIF. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Slovan Bratislava rate 0.66 in attack and 1.23 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Mjallby AIF rate 0.88 and 1.60.
That points to 68% for over two and a half goals and 68% for both teams to score.
The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%).
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 241 correct results out of 502 settled predictions (48%), with 50 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Slovan Bratislava the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2 expected goals for Slovan Bratislava against 1.52 for Mjallby AIF. Slovan Bratislava's attack/defence rating is 0.66/1.23 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.88/1.6 for Mjallby AIF.