11 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Stadion Rajko Mit, Belgrade
Full time0 – 2

Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Before kick-off the model made it 76% FK Crvena Zvezda, 14% draw, 10% Hapoel Beer Sheva — fair odds of 1.32, 7.14 and 10.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Champions League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Hapoel Beer Sheva 1–0 FK Crvena Zvezda (4 Aug) →

Hapoel Beer Sheva went through 3–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

FK Crvena Zvezda at 76%: of 501 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.5% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Crvena Zvezda0%Draw1%Hapoel Beer Sheva99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

22'
Itay Rotman
🔁J. Enemout: M. Arnautovic
46'
🔁T. Elsnikout: M. Abu Fani
46'
61'
⚽I. Zlatanovicassist: J. East
🔁V. Kostovout: M. Ivanic
62'
63'
Niv Yehoshua
66'
🔁G. Mizrahiout: H. Kanaan
66'
🔁N. Yehoshuaout: M. Abu Rumi
🔁O. Bukariout: M. Cham
73'
76'
🔁I. Zlatanovicout: D. T. Diop
79'
⚽J. Eastassist: E. Peretz
🔁N. Tiknizyanout: A. Katai
80'
Mohammad Abu Fani
90+3'
90+2'
🔁P. Amadorout: O. Davidzada
90+2'
🔁J. Eastout: A. Ohana

Match stats — FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

4%Possession96%
2On target6
3Corners3

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda 4-2-3-1
  • 1MatheusG
  • 66Seol Young-WooD
  • 32D. LuckassenD
  • 25S. ErakovicD
  • 23N. TiknizyanD
  • 21T. ElsnikM
  • 33R. KrunicM
  • 14O. BukariM
  • 22V. KostovM
  • 17Bruno DuarteF
  • 9J. EnemF
Substitutes
  • 77I. GutesaG
  • 4M. IvanicM
  • 7M. ArnautovicF
  • 8K. BalovM
  • 10A. KataiM
  • 13M. VeljkovicD
  • 15M. Abu FaniM
  • 27M. StrikaD
  • 30F. Tebo UchennaD
Coach: Dejan Stankovic
Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-3-3
  • 1O. MarcianoG
  • 2G. MizrahiD
  • 4Miguel VitorD
  • 12I. RotmanD
  • 5P. AmadorD
  • 7E. PeretzM
  • 25Lucas VenturaM
  • 28N. YehoshuaM
  • 20J. EastF
  • 66I. ZlatanovicF
  • 9Z. AhmedF
Substitutes
  • 34M. WolffG
  • 36Y. Shani
  • 8H. KanaanF
  • 11A. C. GanahF
  • 13O. DavidzadaD
  • 18R. LevyM
  • 19A. OhanaF
  • 21Y. KorenF
  • 23I. HazutM
Coach: Ran Kozuch

Form going into FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

FK Crvena Zvezda

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Novi Pazar8 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Hapoel Beer Sheva4 August 2026
  • W5-0Larne29 July 2026
  • W4-0away to Larne21 July 2026

Hapoel Beer Sheva

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0FK Crvena Zvezda4 August 2026
  • W2-0Vikingur Reykjavik29 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Vikingur Reykjavik21 July 2026

What these results say

  • FK Crvena Zvezda won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FK Crvena Zvezda scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • FK Crvena Zvezda kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva

  • 4 August 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva 1–0 FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Champions League

The result against the call

Hapoel Beer Sheva won 2–0 at FK Crvena Zvezda. The model had leaned towards a win for FK Crvena Zvezda at 76% and given a win for Hapoel Beer Sheva 10%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 10 matches like this one. The goals: I. Zlatanovic 61' for Hapoel Beer Sheva, J. East 79' for Hapoel Beer Sheva. Sent off: Mohammad Abu Fani (FK Crvena Zvezda) 90+3'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.