11 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Sabah FA vs Aarhus UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Bank Respublika Arena
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Sabah FA 4-0 Aarhus.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% Sabah FA, 25% draw, 34% Aarhus — fair odds of 2.44, 4.00 and 2.94.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Champions League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Aarhus 2–1 Sabah FA (5 Aug) →

Sabah FA went through 5–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Sabah FA at 41%: of 2,925 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sabah FA99%Draw1%Aarhus0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
Rasmus Carstensen
32'
Jacob Andersen
🔁O. Mbinaout: X. Severina
58'
⚽V. Simicassist: J. Mickels
59'
64'
🔁G. Linksout: F. Emmery
65'
🔁R. Carstensenout: M. Anderson
66'
Eric Kahl
⚽S. Solvetassist: A. Isayev
67'
72'
🔁M. Knudsenout: J. Serra
⚽J. Mickels
78'
81'
🔁C. Roslerout: M. Camara
🔁A. Isayevout: C. Nwachukwu
82'
82'
🔁J. Jonssonout: S. Jorgensen
⚽X. Severinaassist: A. Zedadka
89'
🔁J. Mickelsout: R. Fernandes
90+3'
🔁A. Zedadkaout: T. Mutallimov
90+4'
🔁I. Lepinjicaout: A. Khaybulaev
90+3'

Match stats — Sabah FA vs Aarhus

50%Possession50%
29Shots14
10On target5
7Corners4

Line-ups

Sabah FA 4-2-3-1
  • 92S. PokatilovG
  • 80A. ZedadkaD
  • 3S. SolvetD
  • 5R. DashdamirovD
  • 27T. PuchaczD
  • 7U. RakhmonaliyevM
  • 13I. LepinjicaM
  • 21V. SimicM
  • 10A. IsayevM
  • 20J. MickelsM
  • 99O. MbinaF
Substitutes
  • 94R. MirzammadovG
  • 1A. RamazanovG
  • 88R. FernandesM
  • 16R. RustamliM
  • 33E. A. Santos JuniorD
  • 23Y. LachaabF
  • 8C. NwachukwuF
  • 17T. Mutallimov
  • 11K. ParrisM
Coach: Valdas Dambrauskas
Aarhus 3-1-4-2
  • 21M. HedenstadG
  • 26J. AndersenD
  • 25C. RoslerD
  • 19E. KahlD
  • 16J. JonssonM
  • 29R. CarstensenM
  • 4M. KnudsenM
  • 10K. Arnstad
  • 11G. LinksM
  • 31T. BechF
  • 28J. BogereF
Substitutes
  • 1J. HansenG
  • 42M. van der RaadG
  • 39F. EmmeryF
  • 45C. StorchD
  • 14T. MolgaardD
  • 13J. SerraF
  • 23M. AndersonM
  • 7M. SolbakkenM
  • 8S. JorgensenM
Coach: Jakob Poulsen

Form going into Sabah FA vs Aarhus

Sabah FA

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Aarhus5 August 2026
  • W2-0away to KuPS28 July 2026
  • W1-0KuPS21 July 2026

Aarhus

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Sabah FA5 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Lyngby1 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Lech Poznan29 July 2026
  • D1-1Brondby25 July 2026
  • L1-4Lech Poznan21 July 2026

What these results say

  • Aarhus scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Aarhus conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Aarhus had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Sabah FA vs Aarhus

  • 5 August 2026Aarhus 2–1 Sabah FAUEFA Champions League

Leading scorers: Sabah FA and Aarhus

Sabah FA

GoalsAssists

  • J. Mickels41

Aarhus

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sabah FA beat Aarhus 4–0. The model had made a win for Sabah FA its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: V. Simic 59' for Sabah FA, S. Solvet 67' for Sabah FA, J. Mickels 78' for Sabah FA, X. Severina 89' for Sabah FA.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.