11 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

FC Iberia 1999 vs Larne UEFA Europa League prediction & result

Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi
Full time2 – 1

Final score: FC Iberia 1999 2-1 Larne.

Before kick-off the model made it 26% FC Iberia 1999, 24% draw, 50% Larne — fair odds of 3.85, 4.17 and 2.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Larne 0–0 FC Iberia 1999 (4 Aug) →

FC Iberia 1999 went through 2–1 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Larne at 50%: of 1,622 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.4% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Iberia 19994%Draw91%Larne5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

59'
Sean Graham
Jemali Giorgi Jinjolava
63'
🔁G. Kutsiaout: A. Bartishvili
65'
65'
🔁M. Gibsonout: P. O'Neill
65'
🔁R. Dohertyout: J. Simpson
Nika Sikharulashvili
67'
⚽V. Bedoshviliassist: N. Sikharulashvili
74'
76'
⚽J. Simpson
🔁V. Bedoshviliout: A. Dzagania
77'
🔁B. Kardavaout: I. Alhassan
77'
78'
🔁M. Lustyout: J. Ukek
78'
🔁D. Sloanout: J. McEneff
Amiran Dzagania
84'
🔁G. Kobuladzeout: N. Bochorishvili
91'
97'
Jordan McEneff
101'
🔁T. Cosgroveout: L. Wallace
⚽N. Sikharulashviliassist: N. Dadiani
102'
106'
🔁S. Grahamout: C. McKendry
107'
Dan Bent
Nikoloz Dadiani
112'
🔁N. Sikharulashviliout: S. Ende
115'
🔁Z. Natchkebiaout: E. Kuliyev
115'

Match stats — FC Iberia 1999 vs Larne

68%Possession32%
5On target1
11Corners1

Line-ups

FC Iberia 1999 4-3-3
  • 31G. MakaridzeG
  • 4V. SelimovicD
  • 40G. KobuladzeD
  • 25A. AmisulashviliD
  • 5J. JinjolavaD
  • 6N. DadianiM
  • 27G. KutsiaM
  • 8B. KardavaM
  • 19N. SikharulashviliM
  • 10Z. Natchkebia
  • 24V. BedoshviliM
Substitutes
  • 1T. MegrelishviliG
  • 16R. KurtanidzeG
  • 9A. DzaganiaF
  • 11A. BartishviliM
  • 14I. AlhassanM
  • 17S. EndeF
  • 23E. KuliyevM
  • 29L. ChikhradzeF
  • 30N. BochorishviliD
Coach: Andriy Demchenko
Larne 4-3-3
  • 1R. FergusonG
  • 23T. CosgroveD
  • 3M. RidleyD
  • 26D. BentM
  • 4A. DonnellyD
  • 15R. DohertyM
  • 6C. GallagherM
  • 11S. GrahamD
  • 25D. SloanM
  • 45M. GibsonF
  • 30M. LustyF
Substitutes
  • 16J. CarneyG
  • 2L. WallaceD
  • 7C. McKendryM
  • 8M. Randall
  • 9P. O'NeillF
  • 14B. MageeM
  • 17J. UkekM
  • 19K. O'Hara
  • 22J. McEneffM
Coach: Gary Haveron

Form going into FC Iberia 1999 vs Larne

FC Iberia 1999

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to Larne4 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Slovan Bratislava29 July 2026
  • L0-2Slovan Bratislava21 July 2026

Larne

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0FC Iberia 19994 August 2026
  • L0-5away to FK Crvena Zvezda29 July 2026
  • L0-4FK Crvena Zvezda21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: FC Iberia 1999 vs Larne

  • 4 August 2026Larne 0–0 FC Iberia 1999UEFA Europa League

The result against the call

FC Iberia 1999 beat Larne 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Larne at 50% and given a win for FC Iberia 1999 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: V. Bedoshvili 74' for FC Iberia 1999, J. Simpson 76' for Larne, N. Sikharulashvili 102' for FC Iberia 1999.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.