11 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Aspmyra Stadion
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Bodo/Glimt 3-2 Union St. Gilloise.

Before kick-off the model made it 37% Bodo/Glimt, 26% draw, 37% Union St. Gilloise — fair odds of 2.70, 3.85 and 2.70.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Champions League 3rd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Union St. Gilloise 3–3 Bodo/Glimt (4 Aug) →

Bodo/Glimt went through 6–5 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

Bodo/Glimt at 37%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Bodo/Glimt4%Draw92%Union St. Gilloise4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Sondre Auklend
16'
🔁J. Gundersenout: H. Aleesami
41'
⚽O. Blombergassist: J. Hauge
51'
61'
🔁P. Davidout: M. Fuseini
61'
⚽Guilherme Smithassist: D. Olaru
🔁S. Auklendout: J. Kitolano
70'
🔁O. Brynhildsenout: A. Helmersen
70'
70'
🔁A. Zorganeout: R. Schoofs
74'
🔁D. Olaruout: M. Biondic
⚽J. Haugeassist: A. Helmersen
76'
81'
Kamiel Van de Perre
88'
⚽M. Fuseiniassist: L. Patris
90+6'
Guilherme Smith
90+6'
Kamiel Van de Perre
90+6'
Kamiel Van de Perre
91'
🔁B. Zeneliout: R. Mofokeng
Haitam Aleesami
92'
🔁F. Bjorkanout: I. Maatta
103'
🔁S. Fetout: U. Saltnes
104'
117'
Kevin Mac Allister
⚽A. Helmersen
117'
🔁J. Haugeout: V. Nielsen
120+1'
120+1'
🔁L. Patrisout: R. Florucz
120+1'
🔁Guilherme Smithout: O. Niang

Match stats — Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise

70%Possession30%
23Shots19
9On target5
10Corners1

Line-ups

Bodo/Glimt 4-3-3
  • 12N. HaikinG
  • 20F. SjovoldD
  • 4O. L. BjortuftD
  • 6J. GundersenD
  • 15F. BjorkanD
  • 8S. AuklendM
  • 7P. BergM
  • 19S. FetM
  • 11O. BlombergF
  • 17O. BrynhildsenF
  • 10J. HaugeF
Substitutes
  • 1J. LundG
  • 14U. SaltnesM
  • 16J. KitolanoM
  • 25I. MaattaD
  • 24D. BassiF
  • 5H. AleesamiD
  • 9A. HelmersenF
  • 23M. RiisnaesM
  • 2V. NielsenD
Coach: Kjetil Knutsen
Union St. Gilloise 3-5-2
  • 1V. ChambaereG
  • 5K. Mac AllisterD
  • 29M. SyllaD
  • 55N. HavenaarD
  • 27L. PatrisM
  • 23B. ZeneliM
  • 6K. Van De PerreM
  • 8A. ZorganeM
  • 11Guilherme SmithM
  • 12P. DavidF
  • 28D. OlaruF
Substitutes
  • 71K. Boets
  • 18G. KavlashviliG
  • 17R. SchoofsM
  • 30R. FloruczF
  • 7M. FuseiniF
  • 22O. NiangM
  • 9M. Biondic
  • 38R. MofokengF
Coach: David Hubert

Form going into Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Valerenga8 August 2026
  • D3-3away to Union St. Gilloise4 August 2026
  • W4-0Lillestrom31 July 2026
  • W3-0away to Sandefjord26 July 2026
  • W3-0Ham-Kam22 July 2026

Union St. Gilloise

All competitions we cover

  • W5-1away to KVC Westerlo8 August 2026
  • D3-3Bodo/Glimt4 August 2026

What these results say

  • Bodo/Glimt went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Bodo/Glimt scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Bodo/Glimt had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Bodo/Glimt vs Union St. Gilloise

  • 4 August 2026Union St. Gilloise 3–3 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League
  • 3 October 2024Union St. Gilloise 0–0 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Europa League

The result against the call

Bodo/Glimt beat Union St. Gilloise 3–2. The goals: O. Blomberg 51' for Bodo/Glimt, Guilherme Smith 61' for Union St. Gilloise, J. Hauge 76' for Bodo/Glimt, M. Fuseini 88' for Union St. Gilloise, A. Helmersen 117' for Bodo/Glimt. Sent off: Kamiel Van de Perre (Union St. Gilloise) 90+6'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.