Slovan Bratislava vs FC Iberia 1999 UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Slovan Bratislava 1-1 FC Iberia 1999.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% Slovan Bratislava, 21% draw, 16% FC Iberia 1999 — fair odds of 1.59, 4.76 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: FC Iberia 1999 0–2 Slovan Bratislava (21 Jul) →
Slovan Bratislava went through 3–1 on aggregate.
All Champions League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slovan Bratislava at 63% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Aleksandar PopovicG
- 28César BlackmanD
- 12Kenan BajrićD
- 15Svetozar MarkovićD
- 57Sandro CruzD
- 70Cristian MartínezM
- 3Peter PokornýM
- 8Artur GajdošM
- 29Alexej MarosM
- 9Mykola KukharevychF
- 14Alasana YirajangM
- 23Sharani ZuberuD
- 5Rahim IbrahimM
- 20Alen MustafićM
- 88Daiki MatsuokaM
- 24Matúš TomáškoF
- 44Matúš MacíkG
- 71Dominik TakáčG
- 2Samuel KozlovskýD
- 6Kevin WimmerD
- 31Giorgi MakaridzeG
- 5Jemali Giorgi JinjolavaD
- 4Vahid SelimovićD
- 25Aleksandre AmisulashviliD
- 40Giorgi KobuladzeD
- 27Giorgi KutsiaM
- 8Bakar KardavaM
- 6Nikoloz DadianiM
- 18Lucas CafeM
- 10Zviad NatchkebiaM
- 19Nika SikharulashviliM
- 11Andria BartishviliM
- 14Abdullahi Ibrahim AlhassanM
- 9Amiran DzaganiaF
- 30Nikoloz BochorishviliD
- 17Stephen EndeF
- 1Tornike MegrelishviliG
- 16Revaz KurtanidzeG
- 39Giorgi ChanturiaD
- 23Eldar KuliievM
Form going into Slovan Bratislava vs FC Iberia 1999
Slovan Bratislava
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to FC Iberia 199921 July 2026
FC Iberia 1999
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Slovan Bratislava21 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Slovan Bratislava vs FC Iberia 1999
- 21 July 2026FC Iberia 1999 0–2 Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League
Leading scorers: Slovan Bratislava and FC Iberia 1999
Slovan Bratislava
No player in UEFA Champions League's leading scorers — 1 league goals as a side.
FC Iberia 1999
GoalsAssists
- N. Sikharulashvili30
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Slovan Bratislava and FC Iberia 1999 drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Slovan Bratislava at 63% and given a draw 21%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: Mykola Kukharevych 44' for Slovan Bratislava, Nika Sikharulashvili 51' for FC Iberia 1999.