Slovan Bratislava vs FC Iberia 1999 UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Slovan Bratislava 1-1 FC Iberia 1999.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% Slovan Bratislava, 21% draw, 16% FC Iberia 1999 — fair odds of 1.59, 4.76 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Slovan Bratislava at 63% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Aleksandar PopovicG
- 28César BlackmanD
- 12Kenan BajrićD
- 15Svetozar MarkovićD
- 57Sandro CruzD
- 70Cristian MartínezM
- 3Peter PokornýM
- 8Artur GajdošM
- 29Alexej MarosM
- 9Mykola KukharevychF
- 14Alasana YirajangM
- 23Sharani ZuberuD
- 5Rahim IbrahimM
- 20Alen MustafićM
- 88Daiki MatsuokaM
- 24Matúš TomáškoF
- 44Matúš MacíkG
- 71Dominik TakáčG
- 2Samuel KozlovskýD
- 6Kevin WimmerD
- 31Giorgi MakaridzeG
- 5Jemali Giorgi JinjolavaD
- 4Vahid SelimovićD
- 25Aleksandre AmisulashviliD
- 40Giorgi KobuladzeD
- 27Giorgi KutsiaM
- 8Bakar KardavaM
- 6Nikoloz DadianiM
- 18Lucas CafeM
- 10Zviad NatchkebiaM
- 19Nika SikharulashviliM
- 11Andria BartishviliM
- 14Abdullahi Ibrahim AlhassanM
- 9Amiran DzaganiaF
- 30Nikoloz BochorishviliD
- 17Stephen EndeF
- 1Tornike MegrelishviliG
- 16Revaz KurtanidzeG
- 39Giorgi ChanturiaD
- 23Eldar KuliievM
Form going into Slovan Bratislava vs FC Iberia 1999
Slovan Bratislava
- W2-0away to FC Iberia 199921 July 2026
FC Iberia 1999
- L0-2Slovan Bratislava21 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Slovan Bratislava and FC Iberia 1999 in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | UEFA Champions League | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Iberia 1999 | Erovnuli Liga | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 27 | +6 | 40 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Champions League · Erovnuli Liga
Head-to-head: Slovan Bratislava vs FC Iberia 1999
- 21 July 2026FC Iberia 1999 0–2 Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League
Leading scorers: Slovan Bratislava and FC Iberia 1999
Slovan Bratislava
- A. Šporar2 goals
FC Iberia 1999
- N. Sikharulashvili3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.