29 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

Kauno Žalgiris vs KI Klaksvik UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Jonavos centrinis stadionas, Jonava
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 KI Klaksvik.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Kauno Žalgiris, 25% draw, 28% KI Klaksvik — fair odds of 2.13, 4.00 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Kauno Žalgiris at 47% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kauno Žalgiris96%Draw4%KI Klaksvik0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

32'
G. Tellechea
A. Tolordava
37'
37'
Jean Carlos
🔁F. Ouregaout: L. Krekovic
46'
🔁N. Iyobosa Edokpolorout: M. Konatar
46'
46'
🔁Jean Carlosout: J. Johannesen
🔁Renan Oliveiraout: H. Kadric
62'
🔁M. Burbaout: Leo Ribeiro
62'
76'
M. Sinyan
79'
🔁M. Sinyanout: D. Johansen
⚽L. Krekovicassist: A. Benchaib
85'
🔁Leo Ribeiroout: L. Racic
88'
89'
🔁J. Danielsenout: A. Frederiksberg
89'
🔁F. Brattbakkout: E. Hustad
90+1'
H. Hansson
V. Slivka
90+4'

Line-ups

Kauno Žalgiris 4-1-4-1
  • 55Tomas ŠvedkauskasG
  • 45Joris MoutachyD
  • 3Anton TolordavaD
  • 77Rokas LekiatasD
  • 37Nosa Iyobosa EdokpolorD
  • 32Franco BaldassarraM
  • 24Motiejus BurbaF
  • 7Amine BenchaibF
  • 14Vykintas SlivkaM
  • 70Fabien OuregaM
  • 19Renan OliveiraF
Substitutes
  • 33Marko KonatarD
  • 9Leon KrekovićM
  • 15Léo RibeiroM
  • 99Haris KadrićF
  • 22Deividas MikelionisG
  • 2Tautvydas BurdzilauskasD
  • 4Luka RacicD
  • 23Aldayr HernándezD
  • 17Ivan FiolićM
Coach: Eivinas Cerniauskas
KI Klaksvik 3-4-3
  • 96Mark JensenG
  • 26Gilli RólantssonD
  • 5Deni PavlovićM
  • 2Gastón TellecheaD
  • 23Jóannes Kalsø DanielsenD
  • 10Hallur HanssonM
  • 4Mansour SinyanM
  • 36Jean CarlosD
  • 17Filip BrattbakkM
  • 9Páll KlettskarðF
  • 28Oussama AliM
Substitutes
  • 6Daniel JohansenD
  • 12Nicolai ChristensenG
  • 29Símun KalsøD
  • 24Martin GonzalezM
  • 25Hampus NässtromM
  • 11Jonn JohannesenM
  • 7Árni FrederiksbergM
  • 14René Shaki JoensenM
  • 20Erlend HustadF
Coach: Magnus Powell

Form going into Kauno Žalgiris vs KI Klaksvik

Kauno Žalgiris

  • D0-0away to KI Klaksvik21 July 2026

KI Klaksvik

  • D0-0Kauno Žalgiris21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Kauno Žalgiris vs KI Klaksvik

  • 29 July 2026Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 KI KlaksvikUEFA Champions League
  • 21 July 2026KI Klaksvik 0–0 Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Champions League

Leading scorers: Kauno Žalgiris and KI Klaksvik

Kauno Žalgiris

  • V. Slivka2 goals

KI Klaksvik

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.