29 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

Kauno Žalgiris vs KI Klaksvik UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Jonavos centrinis stadionas, Jonava
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 KI Klaksvik.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Kauno Žalgiris, 25% draw, 28% KI Klaksvik — fair odds of 2.13, 4.00 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: KI Klaksvik 0–0 Kauno Žalgiris (21 Jul) →

Kauno Žalgiris went through 1–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Kauno Žalgiris at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Kauno Žalgiris96%Draw4%KI Klaksvik0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

32'
G. Tellechea
A. Tolordava
37'
37'
Jean Carlos
🔁F. Ouregaout: L. Krekovic
46'
🔁N. Iyobosa Edokpolorout: M. Konatar
46'
46'
🔁Jean Carlosout: J. Johannesen
🔁Renan Oliveiraout: H. Kadric
62'
🔁M. Burbaout: Leo Ribeiro
62'
76'
M. Sinyan
79'
🔁M. Sinyanout: D. Johansen
⚽L. Krekovicassist: A. Benchaib
85'
🔁Leo Ribeiroout: L. Racic
88'
89'
🔁J. Danielsenout: A. Frederiksberg
89'
🔁F. Brattbakkout: E. Hustad
90+1'
H. Hansson
V. Slivka
90+4'

Line-ups

Kauno Žalgiris 4-1-4-1
  • 55Tomas ŠvedkauskasG
  • 45Joris MoutachyD
  • 3Anton TolordavaD
  • 77Rokas LekiatasD
  • 37Nosa Iyobosa EdokpolorD
  • 32Franco BaldassarraM
  • 24Motiejus BurbaF
  • 7Amine BenchaibF
  • 14Vykintas SlivkaM
  • 70Fabien OuregaM
  • 19Renan OliveiraF
Substitutes
  • 33Marko KonatarD
  • 9Leon KrekovićM
  • 15Léo RibeiroM
  • 99Haris KadrićF
  • 22Deividas MikelionisG
  • 2Tautvydas BurdzilauskasD
  • 4Luka RacicD
  • 23Aldayr HernándezD
  • 17Ivan FiolićM
Coach: Eivinas Cerniauskas
KI Klaksvik 3-4-3
  • 96Mark JensenG
  • 26Gilli RólantssonD
  • 5Deni PavlovićM
  • 2Gastón TellecheaD
  • 23Jóannes Kalsø DanielsenD
  • 10Hallur HanssonM
  • 4Mansour SinyanM
  • 36Jean CarlosD
  • 17Filip BrattbakkM
  • 9Páll KlettskarðF
  • 28Oussama AliM
Substitutes
  • 6Daniel JohansenD
  • 12Nicolai ChristensenG
  • 29Símun KalsøD
  • 24Martin GonzalezM
  • 25Hampus NässtromM
  • 11Jonn JohannesenM
  • 7Árni FrederiksbergM
  • 14René Shaki JoensenM
  • 20Erlend HustadF
Coach: Magnus Powell

Form going into Kauno Žalgiris vs KI Klaksvik

Kauno Žalgiris

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to KI Klaksvik21 July 2026

KI Klaksvik

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Kauno Žalgiris21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Kauno Žalgiris vs KI Klaksvik

  • 21 July 2026KI Klaksvik 0–0 Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Champions League

The result against the call

Kauno Žalgiris beat KI Klaksvik 1–0. The model had made a win for Kauno Žalgiris its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: L. Krekovic 85' for Kauno Žalgiris.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.