Universitatea Craiova
vs
Levski Sofia
Final score: Universitatea Craiova 2-2 Levski Sofia.
Before kick-off the model made it 43% Universitatea Craiova, 26% draw, 31% Levski Sofia — fair odds of 2.33, 3.85 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Universitatea Craiova 1.58, Levski Sofia 1.32.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Model insights
Match stats: Universitatea Craiova vs Levski Sofia
Goals: Everton Bala 13' for Levski Sofia, Aldair 16' for Levski Sofia, Nicușor Bancu 45+2' for Universitatea Craiova, Adrian Rus 48' for Universitatea Craiova.
Head-to-head: Universitatea Craiova vs Levski Sofia
- 29 July 2026Universitatea Craiova 0–2 Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League
- 22 July 2026Levski Sofia 1–0 Universitatea CraiovaUEFA Champions League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Universitatea Craiova the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.58 expected goals for Universitatea Craiova against 1.32 for Levski Sofia. Universitatea Craiova's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.21 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.78/1.37 for Levski Sofia.