29 July 2026, 17:30 UTC

Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik UEFA Champions League prediction & result

Toto Turner Stadium, Szombathely
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-0 Vikingur Reykjavik.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Hapoel Beer Sheva, 24% draw, 29% Vikingur Reykjavik — fair odds of 2.13, 4.17 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Champions League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Vikingur Reykjavik 2–1 Hapoel Beer Sheva (21 Jul) →

Hapoel Beer Sheva went through 3–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Hapoel Beer Sheva at 47% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Hapoel Beer Sheva99%Draw1%Vikingur Reykjavik0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
🔁T. Ibrahimagicout: S. Hauksson
15'
🔁O. Borgthorssonout: S. Thordarson
🔁D. T. Diopout: I. Rotman
36'
55'
G. Vatnhamar
🔁N. Yehoshuaout: E. Peretz
57'
Lucas Ventura
58'
61'
A. Fridriksson
63'
D. Hafsteinsson
⚽Z. Ahmedassist: G. Mizrahi
65'
E. Peretz
69'
74'
🔁A. Thrandarsonout: V. Andrason
74'
🔁V. Ingimundarsonout: D. Jonsson
74'
🔁D. Hafsteinssonout: S. Thorkelsson
🔁M. Baltaxaout: O. Davidzada
75'
🔁J. Eastout: A. C. Ganah
75'
⚽A. C. Ganahassist: K. Kangwa
80'
•Z. Ahmed
82'
I. Zlatanovic
86'
K. Kangwa
90+5'
O. Marciano
90+5'

Line-ups

Hapoel Beer Sheva 4-3-3
  • 1Ofir MarcianoG
  • 2Guy MizrahiD
  • 44Djibril DiopD
  • 4Miguel VítorD
  • 3Matan BaltaxaD
  • 28Niv YehoshuaM
  • 25Lucas VenturaM
  • 17Kings KangwaM
  • 20Javon EastF
  • 66Igor ZlatanovićF
  • 9Zahi AhmedF
Substitutes
  • 12Itay RotmanD
  • 7Eliel PeretzM
  • 13Ofir DavidzadaD
  • 11Amir Chaim GanahF
  • 34Marco WolffG
  • 18Roy LevyM
  • 27Yoni StoyanovM
  • 23Itay HazutM
  • 8Hamode KanaanF
Coach: Ran Kozuch
Vikingur Reykjavik 4-3-3
  • 29Aron Snær FriðrikssonG
  • 22Karl Friðleifur GunnarssonD
  • 4Oliver EkrothD
  • 6Gunnar VatnhamarD
  • 9Helgi GuðjónssonD
  • 10Gylfi SigurðssonM
  • 11Daniel HafsteinssonM
  • 20Tarik IbrahimagićD
  • 19Óskar BorgthórssonM
  • 21Aron Elís ÞrándarsonM
  • 25Valdimar Þór IngimundarsonF
Substitutes
  • 30Sveinn Margeir HaukssonM
  • 77Stigur Diljan ThordarsonM
  • 2Sveinn Gísli ÞorkelssonD
  • 8Viktor Örlygur AndrasonM
  • 18Dadi JónssonM
  • 47Ögmundur KristinssonG
  • 99Uggi Johann AudunssonG
  • 24Davíð Örn AtlasonD
  • 7Erlingur AgnarssonM
Coach: Solvi Ottesen

Form going into Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik

Hapoel Beer Sheva

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Vikingur Reykjavik21 July 2026

Vikingur Reykjavik

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Hapoel Beer Sheva21 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik

  • 21 July 2026Vikingur Reykjavik 2–1 Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Champions League

The result against the call

Hapoel Beer Sheva beat Vikingur Reykjavik 2–0. The model had made a win for Hapoel Beer Sheva its most likely outcome, at 47%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Z. Ahmed 65' for Hapoel Beer Sheva, A. C. Ganah 80' for Hapoel Beer Sheva.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.