Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-0 Vikingur Reykjavik.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Hapoel Beer Sheva, 24% draw, 29% Vikingur Reykjavik — fair odds of 2.13, 4.17 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Hapoel Beer Sheva at 47% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Ofir MarcianoG
- 2Guy MizrahiD
- 44Djibril DiopD
- 4Miguel VítorD
- 3Matan BaltaxaD
- 28Niv YehoshuaM
- 25Lucas VenturaM
- 17Kings KangwaM
- 20Javon EastF
- 66Igor ZlatanovićF
- 9Zahi AhmedF
- 12Itay RotmanD
- 7Eliel PeretzM
- 13Ofir DavidzadaD
- 11Amir Chaim GanahF
- 34Marco WolffG
- 18Roy LevyM
- 27Yoni StoyanovM
- 23Itay HazutM
- 8Hamode KanaanF
- 29Aron Snær FriðrikssonG
- 22Karl Friðleifur GunnarssonD
- 4Oliver EkrothD
- 6Gunnar VatnhamarD
- 9Helgi GuðjónssonD
- 10Gylfi SigurðssonM
- 11Daniel HafsteinssonM
- 20Tarik IbrahimagićD
- 19Óskar BorgthórssonM
- 21Aron Elís ÞrándarsonM
- 25Valdimar Þór IngimundarsonF
- 30Sveinn Margeir HaukssonM
- 77Stigur Diljan ThordarsonM
- 2Sveinn Gísli ÞorkelssonD
- 8Viktor Örlygur AndrasonM
- 18Dadi JónssonM
- 47Ögmundur KristinssonG
- 99Uggi Johann AudunssonG
- 24Davíð Örn AtlasonD
- 7Erlingur AgnarssonM
Form going into Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik
Hapoel Beer Sheva
- L1-2away to Vikingur Reykjavik21 July 2026
Vikingur Reykjavik
- W2-1Hapoel Beer Sheva21 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik
- 29 July 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva 0–0 Vikingur ReykjavikUEFA Champions League
- 21 July 2026Vikingur Reykjavik 2–1 Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Champions League
Leading scorers: Hapoel Beer Sheva and Vikingur Reykjavik
Hapoel Beer Sheva
- M. Kna'an1 goals1 assists
- A. Ganah1 goals
Vikingur Reykjavik
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.