Hapoel Beer Sheva
vs
Vikingur Reykjavik
Final score: Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-0 Vikingur Reykjavik.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Hapoel Beer Sheva, 20% draw, 27% Vikingur Reykjavik — fair odds of 1.89, 5.00 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (8%).
Expected goals: Hapoel Beer Sheva 2.33, Vikingur Reykjavik 1.65.
Both teams to score: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%, under 2.5: 24%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Match stats: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik
Goals: Z. Ahmed 65' for Hapoel Beer Sheva, A. C. Ganah 80' for Hapoel Beer Sheva.
Head-to-head: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Vikingur Reykjavik
- 29 July 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva 0–0 Vikingur ReykjavikUEFA Champions League
- 21 July 2026Vikingur Reykjavik 2–1 Hapoel Beer ShevaUEFA Champions League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Hapoel Beer Sheva the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.33 expected goals for Hapoel Beer Sheva against 1.65 for Vikingur Reykjavik. Hapoel Beer Sheva's attack/defence rating is 0.56/2.31 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/2.2 for Vikingur Reykjavik.