29 July 2026, 18:30 UTC

Rapid Vienna vs FC Santa Coloma UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Allianz Stadion, Vienna
Full time6 – 2

Final score: Rapid Vienna 6-2 FC Santa Coloma.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Rapid Vienna, 24% draw, 21% FC Santa Coloma — fair odds of 1.82, 4.17 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Rapid Vienna at 55% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rapid Vienna99%Draw1%FC Santa Coloma0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽E. Karaassist: B. Bolla
10'
⚽P. Dahlassist: M. Tilio
24'
30'
⚽Gutiassist: A. Gomez
⚽E. Karaassist: M. Seidl
33'
37'
M. Lopez
🔁M. Haidaraout: Y. Demir
46'
🔁J. Auerout: J. Horn
46'
46'
🔁G. Lopezout: A. Villar
54'
🔁I. Barrenetxeaout: Abreu
57'
A. Gomez
⚽N. Cvetkovicassist: E. Kara
58'
⚽E. Karaassist: B. Bolla
63'
64'
🔁A. Gomezout: R. Cabral
64'
🔁P. D. Munoz Martinezout: K. Temenuzhkov
🔁M. Tilioout: T. Gulliksen
66'
71'
A. Villar
72'
🔁Gutiout: M. San Nicolas
B. Bolla
73'
🔁P. Dahlout: N. Wurmbrand
73'
🔁E. Karaout: L. Schaub
78'
⚽N. Wurmbrandassist: J. Horn
82'
87'
⚽Abreu

Match stats — Rapid Vienna vs FC Santa Coloma

54%Possession46%
14Shots6
10On target2
2Corners3

Line-ups

Rapid Vienna 4-2-3-1
  • 1N. HedlG
  • 77B. BollaD
  • 55N. CvetkovicD
  • 6S. Raux-YaoD
  • 23J. AuerD
  • 30N. BajliczM
  • 18M. SeidlM
  • 43M. HaidaraM
  • 7M. TilioM
  • 10P. DahlM
  • 9E. KaraF
Substitutes
  • 25P. GartlerG
  • 50L. OrglerG
  • 21L. SchaubM
  • 22Y. DemirF
  • 8T. AdamsenF
  • 15N. WurmbrandF
  • 4J. M. SchollerD
  • 61F. DemirD
  • 2E. RokaD
Coach: Johannes Thorup
FC Santa Coloma 4-1-4-1
  • 12V. A. Alcaraz Diaz
  • 2A. Rasines
  • 5J. PadillaD
  • 4GutiD
  • 16D. AndradeD
  • 6M. Lopez
  • 9P. D. Munoz MartinezM
  • 8I. BarrenetxeaM
  • 18A. ArjonaM
  • 22A. GomezM
  • 10G. LopezF
Substitutes
  • 13G. San NicolasG
  • 14R. CabralF
  • 11Abreu
  • 23M. San NicolasD
  • 7K. Temenuzhkov
  • 21A. VillarF
Coach: Albert Gomez

Form going into Rapid Vienna vs FC Santa Coloma

Rapid Vienna

  • W3-1away to FC Santa Coloma23 July 2026

FC Santa Coloma

  • L1-3Rapid Vienna23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Rapid Vienna vs FC Santa Coloma

  • 23 July 2026FC Santa Coloma 1–3 Rapid ViennaUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: Rapid Vienna and FC Santa Coloma

Rapid Vienna

  • T. Adamsen4 goals1 assists
  • P. Dahl3 goals
  • Y. Demir2 goals2 assists

FC Santa Coloma

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.