Rapid Vienna
vs
FC Santa Coloma
Final score: Rapid Vienna 6-2 FC Santa Coloma.
Before kick-off the model made it 66% Rapid Vienna, 21% draw, 13% FC Santa Coloma — fair odds of 1.52, 4.76 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (13%).
Expected goals: Rapid Vienna 2.02, FC Santa Coloma 0.77.
Both teams to score: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: High.
Model insights
Match stats: Rapid Vienna vs FC Santa Coloma
Rapid Vienna had 54% possession, 14 shots (10 on target), 2 corners; FC Santa Coloma had 46% possession, 6 shots (2 on target), 3 corners.
Goals: E. Kara 10' for Rapid Vienna, P. Dahl 24' for Rapid Vienna, Guti 30' for FC Santa Coloma, E. Kara 33' for Rapid Vienna, N. Cvetkovic 58' for Rapid Vienna, E. Kara 63' for Rapid Vienna, N. Wurmbrand 82' for Rapid Vienna, Abreu 87' for FC Santa Coloma.
Head-to-head: Rapid Vienna vs FC Santa Coloma
- 23 July 2026FC Santa Coloma 1–3 Rapid ViennaUEFA Europa Conference League
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Rapid Vienna the highest probability at 66%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.02 expected goals for Rapid Vienna against 0.77 for FC Santa Coloma. Rapid Vienna's attack/defence rating is 0.55/1.34 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.41/1.94 for FC Santa Coloma.