Rapid Vienna vs FC Santa Coloma UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Rapid Vienna 6-2 FC Santa Coloma.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Rapid Vienna, 24% draw, 21% FC Santa Coloma — fair odds of 1.82, 4.17 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: FC Santa Coloma 1–3 Rapid Vienna (23 Jul) →
Rapid Vienna went through 9–3 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Rapid Vienna at 55% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rapid Vienna vs FC Santa Coloma
Line-ups
- 1N. HedlG
- 77B. BollaD
- 55N. CvetkovicD
- 6S. Raux-YaoD
- 23J. AuerD
- 30N. BajliczM
- 18M. SeidlM
- 43M. HaidaraM
- 7M. TilioM
- 10P. DahlM
- 9E. KaraF
- 25P. GartlerG
- 50L. OrglerG
- 21L. SchaubM
- 22Y. DemirF
- 8T. AdamsenF
- 15N. WurmbrandF
- 4J. M. SchollerD
- 61F. DemirD
- 2E. RokaD
- 12V. A. Alcaraz Diaz
- 2A. Rasines
- 5J. PadillaD
- 4GutiD
- 16D. AndradeD
- 6M. Lopez
- 9P. D. Munoz MartinezM
- 8I. BarrenetxeaM
- 18A. ArjonaM
- 22A. GomezM
- 10G. LopezF
- 13G. San NicolasG
- 14R. CabralF
- 11Abreu
- 23M. San NicolasD
- 7K. Temenuzhkov
- 21A. VillarF
Form going into Rapid Vienna vs FC Santa Coloma
Rapid Vienna
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to FC Santa Coloma23 July 2026
FC Santa Coloma
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Rapid Vienna23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Rapid Vienna vs FC Santa Coloma
- 23 July 2026FC Santa Coloma 1–3 Rapid ViennaUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Rapid Vienna and FC Santa Coloma
Rapid Vienna
GoalsAssists
- E. Kara51
- P. Dahl51
- T. Adamsen43
FC Santa Coloma
No leading scorers listed yet.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rapid Vienna beat FC Santa Coloma 6–2. The model had made a win for Rapid Vienna its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: E. Kara 10' for Rapid Vienna, P. Dahl 24' for Rapid Vienna, Guti 30' for FC Santa Coloma, E. Kara 33' for Rapid Vienna, N. Cvetkovic 58' for Rapid Vienna, E. Kara 63' for Rapid Vienna, N. Wurmbrand 82' for Rapid Vienna, Abreu 87' for FC Santa Coloma.