FC WIL 1900
vs
Yverdon Sport
Challenge League prediction
Our model says: FC WIL 1900 1–2 Yverdon Sport
The model makes it 31% FC WIL 1900, 28% draw, 41% Yverdon Sport — fair odds of 3.23, 3.57 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: FC WIL 1900 1.26, Yverdon Sport 1.53.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Edge to Yverdon Sport: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. FC WIL 1900's rating is built from 49 Challenge League matches and Yverdon Sport's from 49, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- FC WIL 1900 are 8th on 14 points from 13 games; Yverdon Sport are 3rd on 23 points from 13 games — Challenge League.
- FC WIL 1900 have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-0 win away to FC Aarau.
- Yverdon Sport have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Neuchatel Xamax FC.
- Last 6 meetings: Yverdon Sport 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 28 August 2026, ended Yverdon Sport 1–1 FC WIL 1900.
More Challenge League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FC WIL 1900 vs Yverdon Sport
Has the model earned this number?
Yverdon Sport at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into FC WIL 1900 vs Yverdon Sport
FC WIL 1900
Challenge League
- W3-0away to FC Aarau6 November 2026
- L0-3FC Winterthur1 November 2026
- D2-2Rapperswil23 October 2026
- D1-1away to SC Kriens9 October 2026
- W5-0Stade Nyonnais18 September 2026
Yverdon Sport
Challenge League
- D0-0Neuchatel Xamax FC8 November 2026
- L2-3away to Stade Lausanne-Ouchy30 October 2026
- W5-2SC Kriens25 October 2026
- W2-0away to Étoile Carouge9 October 2026
- D0-0Stade Lausanne-Ouchy20 September 2026
What these results say
- FC WIL 1900 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FC WIL 1900 had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Challenge League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC WIL 1900 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 14 |
| 3 | Yverdon Sport | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 14 | +9 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
FC WIL 1900
Chance to finish in the top four · 4% today
From our Challenge League season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: FC WIL 1900 vs Yverdon Sport
- 28 August 2026Yverdon Sport 1–1 FC WIL 1900Challenge League
- 8 May 2026FC WIL 1900 0–1 Yverdon SportChallenge League
- 13 March 2026Yverdon Sport 0–0 FC WIL 1900Challenge League
- 21 November 2025FC WIL 1900 2–4 Yverdon SportChallenge League
- 22 August 2025Yverdon Sport 4–0 FC WIL 1900Challenge League
- 27 May 2023FC WIL 1900 0–2 Yverdon SportChallenge League
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FC WIL 1900 a 0% chance of the title and Yverdon Sport 1.6%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Yverdon Sport the highest probability at 41%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.26 expected goals for FC WIL 1900 against 1.53 for Yverdon Sport. FC WIL 1900's attack/defence rating is 0.44/2.27 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.56/1.76 for Yverdon Sport.
How the model reaches 41% for Yverdon Sport to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Yverdon Sport to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, FC WIL 1900's ratings add 6 points and Yverdon Sport's ratings add 6 points, which lands on the published 41%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- FC WIL 1900's ratings35%+6
- Yverdon Sport's ratings41%+6
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
FC WIL 1900 at home · Yverdon Sport away
League matches only, Challenge League, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Challenge League matches this season: FC WIL 1900 13, Yverdon Sport 13.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
FC WIL 1900
- vs Étoile Carouge6 Dec · Challenge Leaguewin 43%
- at Neuchatel Xamax FC13 Dec · Challenge Leaguewin 27%
- vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy18 Dec · Challenge Leaguewin 26%
Yverdon Sport
- at FC Aarau5 Dec · Challenge Leaguewin 38%
- vs Rapperswil13 Dec · Challenge Leaguewin 62%
- at Stade Nyonnais18 Dec · Challenge Leaguewin 55%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.