Zemun
vs
Radnicki 1923
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Zemun 0–1 Radnicki 1923
The model makes it 21% Zemun, 27% draw, 52% Radnicki 1923 — fair odds of 4.76, 3.70 and 1.92.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1 (12%).
Expected goals: Zemun 0.90, Radnicki 1923 1.72.
Both teams to score: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
One-sided: Radnicki 1923 are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Zemun's rating is built from 15 Serbian SuperLiga matches and Radnicki 1923's from 52, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 700 matches.
Key facts
- Zemun are bottom on 7 points from 15 games; Radnicki 1923 are 5th on 23 points from 15 games — Super Liga.
- Zemun have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to IMT Novi Beograd.
- Radnicki 1923 have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-3 defeat away to Železničar Pančevo.
- Last 6 meetings: Radnicki 1923 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 8 August 2026, ended Radnicki 1923 3–0 Zemun.
More Serbian SuperLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Zemun vs Radnicki 1923
Has the model earned this number?
Radnicki 1923 at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Zemun vs Radnicki 1923
Zemun
Super Liga
- D1-1IMT Novi Beograd7 November 2026
- L0-3away to FK Partizan1 November 2026
- W1-0Macva23 October 2026
- L0-3away to Cukaricki17 October 2026
- L0-3Železničar Pančevo11 October 2026
Radnicki 1923
Super Liga
- L1-3away to Železničar Pančevo7 November 2026
- W2-0Novi Pazar1 November 2026
- L1-2Železničar Pančevo28 October 2026
- W1-0Radnik Surdulica23 October 2026
- L0-2away to Vojvodina17 October 2026
What these results say
- Zemun failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Zemun conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Radnicki 1923 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serbia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Zemun | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 29 | -21 | 7 |
| 5 | Radnicki 1923 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Radnicki 1923
Chance to finish in the top six · 73% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Zemun vs Radnicki 1923
- 8 August 2026Radnicki 1923 3–0 ZemunSuper Liga
- 29 October 2025Zemun 2–1 Radnicki 1923Cup
- 24 April 2021Zemun 1–1 Radnicki 1923Prva Liga
- 25 October 2020Radnicki 1923 2–1 ZemunPrva Liga
- 20 June 2020Radnicki 1923 1–0 ZemunPrva Liga
- 19 October 2019Zemun 0–0 Radnicki 1923Prva Liga
Leading scorers: Zemun and Radnicki 1923
Zemun
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Radnicki 1923
GoalsAssists
- U. Sremčević61
- M. Cissé42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Radnicki 1923 the highest probability at 52%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.90 expected goals for Zemun against 1.72 for Radnicki 1923. Zemun's attack/defence rating is 0.34/2.3 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.58/1.66 for Radnicki 1923.
How the model reaches 52% for Radnicki 1923 to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Radnicki 1923 to win. Then home advantage takes away 5 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Zemun's ratings add 10 points and Radnicki 1923's ratings add 12 points, which lands on the published 52%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage31%−5
- Both sides at this match's level30%−1
- Zemun's ratings40%+10
- Radnicki 1923's ratings52%+12
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Zemun at home · Radnicki 1923 away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Zemun 15, Radnicki 1923 15.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Zemun
- at Mladost Lucani6 Dec · Super Ligawin 22%
- vs OFK Beograd6 Feb · Super Ligawin 26%
- at FK Crvena Zvezda13 Feb · Super Ligawin 3%
- vs Vojvodina20 Feb · Super Ligawin 12%
Radnicki 1923
- vs FK Partizan6 Dec · Super Ligawin 42%
- at IMT Novi Beograd6 Feb · Super Ligawin 29%
- vs Radnicki NIS13 Feb · Super Ligawin 56%
- vs Macva20 Feb · Super Ligawin 53%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.