FC Copenhagen
vs
Brondby
Superliga prediction
Our model says: FC Copenhagen 2–1 Brondby
The model makes it 55% FC Copenhagen, 23% draw, 22% Brondby — fair odds of 1.82, 4.35 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).
Expected goals: FC Copenhagen 2.22, Brondby 1.23.
Both teams to score: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 67%, under 2.5: 33%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,566 settled matches.
Edge to FC Copenhagen: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 25 October 2026. FC Copenhagen's rating is built from 44 Danish Superliga matches and Brondby's from 45, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 453 matches.
Key facts
- FC Copenhagen are top on 25 points from 11 games; Brondby are 5th on 19 points from 12 games — Superliga.
- FC Copenhagen have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw at home to Aarhus.
- Brondby have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-1 win away to Randers FC.
- Last 6 meetings: FC Copenhagen 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 20 September 2026, ended Brondby 0–1 FC Copenhagen.
More Danish Superliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FC Copenhagen vs Brondby
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Copenhagen at 55% here. Across 4,776 settled matches (as of 25 October 2026), 1,179 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into FC Copenhagen vs Brondby
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
- D1-1Aarhus18 October 2026
- L1-2away to FC Midtjylland11 October 2026
- W1-0away to Brondby20 September 2026
- W2-0AC Horsens11 September 2026
- W5-0away to Odense6 September 2026
Brondby
Superliga
- W3-1away to Randers FC23 October 2026
- L1-2away to Odense18 October 2026
- W5-2Lyngby11 October 2026
- L0-1FC Copenhagen20 September 2026
- L1-4away to FC Midtjylland14 September 2026
What these results say
- FC Copenhagen scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Brondby conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Brondby scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Brondby had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 11 | +14 | 25 |
| 5 | Brondby | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | +1 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Copenhagen vs Brondby
- 20 September 2026Brondby 0–1 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
- 21 May 2026Brondby 1–3 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
- 23 November 2025FC Copenhagen 1–0 BrondbySuperliga
- 13 September 2025Brondby 2–1 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
- 4 May 2025Brondby 0–3 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
- 13 April 2025FC Copenhagen 1–2 BrondbySuperliga
Leading scorers: FC Copenhagen and Brondby
FC Copenhagen
GoalsAssists
- M. Elyounoussi72
- B. Meling41
Brondby
GoalsAssists
- O. Hyseni43
- M. Frøkjær-Jensen41
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
FC Copenhagen carry a model rating of 6.82 against 6.6 for Brondby. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 2.22 goals for FC Copenhagen and 1.23 for Brondby. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
FC Copenhagen rate 1.00 in attack and 1.06 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Brondby rate 0.77 and 1.27.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FC Copenhagen a 41.4% chance of the title and Brondby 0.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,309 correct results out of 4,819 settled predictions (48%), with 476 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Copenhagen the highest probability at 55%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.22 expected goals for FC Copenhagen against 1.23 for Brondby. FC Copenhagen's attack/defence rating is 1/1.06 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.77/1.27 for Brondby.
How the model reaches 55% for FC Copenhagen to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for FC Copenhagen to win. Then home advantage adds 4 points, FC Copenhagen's ratings take away 1 point and Brondby's ratings add 15 points, which lands on the published 55%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage41%+4
- FC Copenhagen's ratings40%−1
- Brondby's ratings55%+15
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
FC Copenhagen at home · Brondby away
League matches only, Superliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
FC CopenhagenBrondby
FC Copenhagen are 1st after 11 Superliga matches (between 1st and 5th so far); Brondby are 5th after 12 (between 1st and 5th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Superliga matches this season: FC Copenhagen 11, Brondby 12.
Brondby score most often in the 46–60 minute window (5 goals); FC Copenhagen have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
FC Copenhagen
- at FC Nordsjaelland22 Nov · Superligawin 41%
- at Inter Club d'Escaldes26 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 54%
Brondby
- vs FC Midtjylland23 Nov · Superligawin 26%
- at Sonderjyske27 Nov · Superligawin 41%
- vs Odense6 Dec · Superligawin 48%
- at Lyngby21 Feb · Superligawin 46%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.