Regular Season - 12 · 26 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

FC Copenhagen vs Odense Superliga prediction

Parken Stadium, Copenhagen

Our model says: FC Copenhagen 2–0 Odense

The model makes it 63% FC Copenhagen, 21% draw, 16% Odense — fair odds of 1.59, 4.76 and 6.25. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0 (10%).

Expected goals: FC Copenhagen 2.34, Odense 0.95.

Both teams to score: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.

Model confidence: High.

One-sided: FC Copenhagen are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.

Published · updated

Key facts

  • FC Copenhagen are top on 24 points from 10 games; Odense are 9th on 10 points from 10 games — Superliga.
  • FC Copenhagen have won 4 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to FC Midtjylland.
  • Odense are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to FC Nordsjaelland.
  • Last 6 meetings: FC Copenhagen 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 6 September 2026, ended Odense 0–5 FC Copenhagen.

More Danish Superliga predictions

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: FC Copenhagen vs Odense

56%
Both teams to score
64%
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

FC Copenhagen win Draw Odense win
  1. 2–010%
  2. 2–110%
  3. 1–19%
  4. 1–08%
  5. 3–08%
  6. 3–18%
  7. 4–05%

Scores read FC Copenhagen first. Each bar is the model's probability of that exact result, drawn against the likeliest one; the other scorelines it considered share the remaining 43%.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC Copenhagen at 63% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 872 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 55.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into FC Copenhagen vs Odense

FC Copenhagen

  • L1-2away to FC Midtjylland11 October 2026
  • W1-0away to Brondby20 September 2026
  • W2-0AC Horsens11 September 2026
  • W5-0away to Odense6 September 2026
  • W2-0FC Nordsjaelland3 September 2026

Odense

  • D0-0away to FC Nordsjaelland9 October 2026
  • D1-1FC Midtjylland19 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Randers FC13 September 2026
  • L0-5FC Copenhagen6 September 2026
  • D1-1away to Lyngby30 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1FC Copenhagen108022410+1424
9Odense10244814-610

Where the two sides stand. Full table

What's at stake

FC Copenhagen

Chance to finish top of the regular season · 52% today

Win 57%
Draw 44%
Defeat 39%

Odense

Chance to finish in the bottom three · 34% today

Win 20%
Draw 31%
Defeat 37%

From our Superliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.

Head-to-head: FC Copenhagen vs Odense

  • 6 September 2026Odense 0–5 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • 22 April 2026FC Copenhagen 2–1 OdenseSuperliga
  • 15 March 2026Odense 2–1 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • 21 February 2026Odense 2–2 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
  • 23 August 2025FC Copenhagen 1–1 OdenseSuperliga
  • 17 March 2024Odense 0–2 FC CopenhagenSuperliga

Leading scorers: FC Copenhagen and Odense

FC Copenhagen

GoalsAssists

  • M. Elyounoussi72
  • B. Meling41

Odense

No player in Superliga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

The two sides

FC Copenhagen carry a model rating of 6.83 against 6.46 for Odense. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

The model expects goals

Under the hood the model expects 2.34 goals for FC Copenhagen and 0.95 for Odense. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

FC Copenhagen rate 1.03 in attack and 1.07 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Odense rate 0.59 and 1.30.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives FC Copenhagen a 52.1% chance of the title and Odense 0%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FC Copenhagen the highest probability at 63%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.34 expected goals for FC Copenhagen against 0.95 for Odense. FC Copenhagen's attack/defence rating is 1.03/1.07 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.59/1.3 for Odense.

Season stats

FC CopenhagenOdense
10Matches10
8W 0D 2LRecord2W 4D 4L
24 2.4 per gameGoals scored8 0.8 per game
10 1.0 per gameGoals conceded14 1.4 per game
5 of 10Clean sheets2 of 10
1 of 10Failed to score4 of 10
2 of 2Penalties scored–
20 2.0 per gameYellow cards22 2.2 per game
4-2-3-1 9×Usual shape4-4-2 4×

FC Copenhagen at home · Odense away

4Played6
4W 0D 0LRecord1W 3D 2L
10–3Goals for – against5–6
2 of 4Clean sheets1 of 6

League matches only, Superliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.

Position by match

FC CopenhagenOdense

1512 FC Copenhagen, match 1, 26 July 2026: vs Lyngby 3-2 → 1stFC Copenhagen, match 2, 2 August 2026: at Silkeborg 1-3 → 1stFC Copenhagen, match 3, 16 August 2026: at Randers FC 0-4 → 1stFC Copenhagen, match 4, 23 August 2026: at Viborg 4-0 → 5thFC Copenhagen, match 5, 31 August 2026: vs Sonderjyske 3-1 → 4thFC Copenhagen, match 6, 3 September 2026: vs FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 → 1stFC Copenhagen, match 7, 6 September 2026: at Odense 0-5 → 1stFC Copenhagen, match 8, 11 September 2026: vs AC Horsens 2-0 → 1stFC Copenhagen, match 9, 20 September 2026: at Brondby 0-1 → 1stFC Copenhagen, match 10, 11 October 2026: at FC Midtjylland 2-1 → 1stOdense, match 1, 24 July 2026: at Viborg 1-0 → 12thOdense, match 2, 3 August 2026: vs Sonderjyske 1-0 → 5thOdense, match 3, 10 August 2026: at Silkeborg 1-0 → 8thOdense, match 4, 16 August 2026: vs AC Horsens 1-2 → 9thOdense, match 5, 23 August 2026: at Aarhus 2-2 → 7thOdense, match 6, 30 August 2026: at Lyngby 1-1 → 7thOdense, match 7, 6 September 2026: vs FC Copenhagen 0-5 → 10thOdense, match 8, 13 September 2026: at Randers FC 1-2 → 8thOdense, match 9, 19 September 2026: vs FC Midtjylland 1-1 → 9thOdense, match 10, 9 October 2026: at FC Nordsjaelland 0-0 → 9th 12345678910 1512 FC Copenhagen, match 1, 26 July 2026: vs Lyngby 3-2 → 1stFC Copenhagen, match 2, 2 August 2026: at Silkeborg 1-3 → 1stFC Copenhagen, match 3, 16 August 2026: at Randers FC 0-4 → 1stFC Copenhagen, match 4, 23 August 2026: at Viborg 4-0 → 5thFC Copenhagen, match 5, 31 August 2026: vs Sonderjyske 3-1 → 4thFC Copenhagen, match 6, 3 September 2026: vs FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 → 1stFC Copenhagen, match 7, 6 September 2026: at Odense 0-5 → 1stFC Copenhagen, match 8, 11 September 2026: vs AC Horsens 2-0 → 1stFC Copenhagen, match 9, 20 September 2026: at Brondby 0-1 → 1stFC Copenhagen, match 10, 11 October 2026: at FC Midtjylland 2-1 → 1stOdense, match 1, 24 July 2026: at Viborg 1-0 → 12thOdense, match 2, 3 August 2026: vs Sonderjyske 1-0 → 5thOdense, match 3, 10 August 2026: at Silkeborg 1-0 → 8thOdense, match 4, 16 August 2026: vs AC Horsens 1-2 → 9thOdense, match 5, 23 August 2026: at Aarhus 2-2 → 7thOdense, match 6, 30 August 2026: at Lyngby 1-1 → 7thOdense, match 7, 6 September 2026: vs FC Copenhagen 0-5 → 10thOdense, match 8, 13 September 2026: at Randers FC 1-2 → 8thOdense, match 9, 19 September 2026: vs FC Midtjylland 1-1 → 9thOdense, match 10, 9 October 2026: at FC Nordsjaelland 0-0 → 9th 12345678910

FC Copenhagen are 1st after 10 Superliga matches (between 1st and 5th so far); Odense are 9th after 10 (between 5th and 12th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All Superliga matches this season: FC Copenhagen 10, Odense 10.

FC Copenhagen scored 635335
Odense conceded 321423

FC Copenhagen score most often in the 0–15 minute window (6 goals); Odense have let in 3 there.

Odense scored 021013
FC Copenhagen conceded 322020

Odense score most often in the 76–90 minute window (3 goals); FC Copenhagen have let in 0 there.

Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.

The next 4 matches, by difficulty

FC Copenhagen

  • at Sonderjyske2 Nov · Superligawin 60%
  • vs FC Iberia 19995 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 75%

Odense

  • vs Silkeborg1 Nov · Superligawin 39%
  • vs Viborg7 Nov · Superligawin 29%
  • at Sonderjyske22 Nov · Superligawin 36%
  • vs FC Nordsjaelland30 Nov · Superligawin 28%

Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.