Silkeborg
vs
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga prediction
Our model says: Silkeborg 1–2 FC Nordsjaelland
The model makes it 30% Silkeborg, 26% draw, 44% FC Nordsjaelland — fair odds of 3.33, 3.85 and 2.27. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Silkeborg 1.29, FC Nordsjaelland 1.68.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Edge to FC Nordsjaelland: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Silkeborg are 7th on 11 points from 10 games; FC Nordsjaelland are 4th on 18 points from 10 games — Superliga.
- Silkeborg are unbeaten in their last 5 games (1 won), most recently a 3-3 draw at home to AC Horsens.
- FC Nordsjaelland have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw at home to Odense.
- Last 6 meetings: FC Nordsjaelland 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 16 August 2026, ended FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 Silkeborg.
More Danish Superliga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Nordsjaelland at 44% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 1,712 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland
Silkeborg
- D3-3AC Horsens11 October 2026
- W4-0away to Lyngby18 September 2026
- D1-1Viborg13 September 2026
- D2-2away to Aarhus5 September 2026
- D1-1FC Midtjylland30 August 2026
FC Nordsjaelland
- D0-0Odense9 October 2026
- L1-4away to Viborg20 September 2026
- W2-0Aarhus13 September 2026
- D2-2away to FC Midtjylland7 September 2026
- L0-2away to FC Copenhagen3 September 2026
What these results say
- Silkeborg went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Silkeborg scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Silkeborg failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Nordsjaelland failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Silkeborg | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
Silkeborg
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 21% today
FC Nordsjaelland
Chance to finish in the top four · 74% today
From our Superliga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland
- 16 August 2026FC Nordsjaelland 1–0 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 7 December 2025FC Nordsjaelland 5–0 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 10 August 2025Silkeborg 4–2 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 20 October 2024FC Nordsjaelland 1–1 SilkeborgSuperliga
- 18 August 2024Silkeborg 4–1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
- 12 May 2024FC Nordsjaelland 4–1 SilkeborgSuperliga
Leading scorers: Silkeborg and FC Nordsjaelland
Silkeborg
GoalsAssists
- O. Ross61
FC Nordsjaelland
GoalsAssists
- A. Lind31
- H. Boe Rasmussen31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Silkeborg carry a model rating of 6.48 against 6.7 for FC Nordsjaelland. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.29 goals for Silkeborg and 1.68 for FC Nordsjaelland. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Silkeborg rate 0.73 in attack and 1.52 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Nordsjaelland rate 0.73 and 1.01.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Silkeborg a 0% chance of the title and FC Nordsjaelland 3.8%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FC Nordsjaelland the highest probability at 44%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.29 expected goals for Silkeborg against 1.68 for FC Nordsjaelland. Silkeborg's attack/defence rating is 0.73/1.52 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.73/1.01 for FC Nordsjaelland.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Silkeborg at home · FC Nordsjaelland away
League matches only, Superliga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
SilkeborgFC Nordsjaelland
Silkeborg are 7th after 10 Superliga matches (between 6th and 10th so far); FC Nordsjaelland are 3rd after 10 (between 1st and 7th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Superliga matches this season: Silkeborg 10, FC Nordsjaelland 10.
Silkeborg score most often in the 31–45 minute window (4 goals); FC Nordsjaelland have let in 4 there.
FC Nordsjaelland score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Silkeborg have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Silkeborg
- at Odense1 Nov · Superligawin 34%
- vs Lyngby6 Nov · Superligawin 49%
- at AC Horsens22 Nov · Superligawin 29%
- vs Aarhus29 Nov · Superligawin 32%
FC Nordsjaelland
- at Esbjerg28 Oct · DBU Pokalenwin 59%
- vs FC Midtjylland1 Nov · Superligawin 30%
- at Monaco5 Nov · UEFA Europa Conference Leaguewin 15%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.