Dukla Banská Bystrica
vs
Dunajska Streda
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–2 Dunajska Streda
The model makes it 16% Dukla Banská Bystrica, 22% draw, 62% Dunajska Streda — fair odds of 6.25, 4.55 and 1.61. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2 (11%).
Expected goals: Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.85, Dunajska Streda 2.19.
Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: High.
One-sided: Dunajska Streda are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Key facts
- Dukla Banská Bystrica are 8th on 10 points from 10 games; Dunajska Streda are top on 23 points from 9 games — Super Liga.
- Dukla Banská Bystrica have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to AS Trencin.
- Dunajska Streda are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 3-0 win away to Zemplín Michalovce.
- Last 6 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 2 draws; the most recent, 2 August 2026, ended Dunajska Streda 2–0 Dukla Banská Bystrica.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dunajska Streda at 62% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 989 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda
Dukla Banská Bystrica
- W1-0away to AS Trencin10 October 2026
- L0-1away to Zemplín Michalovce19 September 2026
- W3-2Skalica12 September 2026
- L0-3away to FK Košice6 September 2026
- D2-2Komárno29 August 2026
Dunajska Streda
- W3-0away to Zemplín Michalovce10 October 2026
- D2-2Spartak Trnava20 September 2026
- W4-1away to AS Trencin12 September 2026
- W2-0Slovan Bratislava5 September 2026
- W6-1away to Skalica30 August 2026
What these results say
- Dukla Banská Bystrica conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dunajska Streda went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Dunajska Streda scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dunajska Streda won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dukla Banská Bystrica | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 10 |
| 1 | Dunajska Streda | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 5 | +23 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Dukla Banská Bystrica vs Dunajska Streda
- 2 August 2026Dunajska Streda 2–0 Dukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga
- 31 January 2025Dunajska Streda 2–0 Dukla Banská BystricaFriendlies Clubs
- 10 November 2024Dunajska Streda 0–0 Dukla Banská BystricaSuper Liga
- 6 November 2024Dunajska Streda 0–2 Dukla Banská BystricaCup
- 11 August 2024Dukla Banská Bystrica 1–0 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
- 2 December 2023Dukla Banská Bystrica 0–0 Dunajska StredaSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Dukla Banská Bystrica and Dunajska Streda
Dukla Banská Bystrica
GoalsAssists
- M. Gjorgievski10
Dunajska Streda
GoalsAssists
- A. Sylla10
- S. Ouro10
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
A clear gap in the ratings
Dukla Banská Bystrica carry a model rating of 6.13 against 6.75 for Dunajska Streda. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 0.85 goals for Dukla Banská Bystrica and 2.19 for Dunajska Streda. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Dukla Banská Bystrica rate 0.47 in attack and 2.00 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Dunajska Streda rate 0.91 and 1.11.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Dukla Banská Bystrica a 0% chance of the title and Dunajska Streda 71.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Dunajska Streda the highest probability at 62%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.85 expected goals for Dukla Banská Bystrica against 2.19 for Dunajska Streda. Dukla Banská Bystrica's attack/defence rating is 0.47/2 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.91/1.11 for Dunajska Streda.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Dukla Banská Bystrica at home · Dunajska Streda away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Dukla Banská Bystrica 10, Dunajska Streda 9.
Dukla Banská Bystrica score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Dunajska Streda have let in 2 there.
Dunajska Streda score most often in the 61–75 minute window (7 goals); Dukla Banská Bystrica have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Dukla Banská Bystrica
- vs Spartak Trnava7 Nov · Super Ligawin 23%
- at Žilina21 Nov · Super Ligawin 15%
- vs Ružomberok28 Nov · Super Ligawin 42%
Dunajska Streda
- vs FK Košice7 Nov · Super Ligawin 72%
- vs Komárno21 Nov · Super Ligawin 72%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.