Zemplín Michalovce
vs
FK Košice
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Zemplín Michalovce 2–1 FK Košice
The model makes it 40% Zemplín Michalovce, 28% draw, 32% FK Košice — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Zemplín Michalovce 1.63, FK Košice 1.36.
Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 57%, under 2.5: 43%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Key facts
- Zemplín Michalovce are 6th on 13 points from 9 games; FK Košice are 7th on 12 points from 8 games — Super Liga.
- Zemplín Michalovce have won 4 of their last 5, most recently a 1-0 win at home to Dukla Banská Bystrica.
- FK Košice have won 2 of their last 5, most recently a 2-0 win at home to Ružomberok.
- Last 6 meetings: FK Košice 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 28 February 2026, ended Zemplín Michalovce 0–2 FK Košice.
All Slovak Super Liga predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zemplín Michalovce at 40% here. Across 3,018 settled matches (as of 4 October 2026), 1,401 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice
Zemplín Michalovce
- W1-0Dukla Banská Bystrica19 September 2026
- L0-3away to Ružomberok12 September 2026
- W3-1AS Trencin5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Slovan Bratislava30 August 2026
- W2-0Skalica22 August 2026
FK Košice
- W2-0Ružomberok19 September 2026
- L2-5away to Spartak Trnava12 September 2026
- W3-0Dukla Banská Bystrica6 September 2026
- D2-2away to Podbrezová29 August 2026
- L1-2Slovan Bratislava22 August 2026
What these results say
- Zemplín Michalovce won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Zemplín Michalovce scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FK Košice scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for FK Košice had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zemplín Michalovce | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | FK Košice | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 18 | +3 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Zemplín Michalovce vs FK Košice
- 28 February 2026Zemplín Michalovce 0–2 FK KošiceSuper Liga
- 19 October 2025FK Košice 3–2 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 1 March 2025FK Košice 3–2 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
- 19 October 2024Zemplín Michalovce 3–2 FK KošiceSuper Liga
- 6 July 2024Zemplín Michalovce 0–1 FK KošiceFriendlies Clubs
- 18 May 2024FK Košice 2–0 Zemplín MichalovceSuper Liga
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Zemplín Michalovce carry a model rating of 6.3 against 6.37 for FK Košice. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.63 goals for Zemplín Michalovce and 1.36 for FK Košice. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Zemplín Michalovce rate 0.49 in attack and 1.50 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FK Košice rate 0.75 and 2.05.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Zemplín Michalovce a 0% chance of the title and FK Košice 0.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,418 correct results out of 3,018 settled predictions (47%), with 294 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Zemplín Michalovce the highest probability at 40%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.63 expected goals for Zemplín Michalovce against 1.36 for FK Košice. Zemplín Michalovce's attack/defence rating is 0.49/1.5 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.75/2.05 for FK Košice.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Zemplín Michalovce at home · FK Košice away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Zemplín Michalovce 9, FK Košice 8.
FK Košice score most often in the 31–45 minute window (5 goals); Zemplín Michalovce have let in 2 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Zemplín Michalovce
- vs Podbrezová24 Oct · Super Ligawin 39%
- at Žilina31 Oct · Super Ligawin 24%
- at Komárno8 Nov · Super Ligawin 32%
- vs Spartak Trnava21 Nov · Super Ligawin 30%
FK Košice
- vs Žilina25 Oct · Super Ligawin 38%
- vs Dunajska Streda28 Oct · Super Ligawin 27%
- at AS Trencin31 Oct · Super Ligawin 39%
- at Dunajska Streda7 Nov · Super Ligawin 17%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.