Regular Season - 13 · 1 November 2026, 13:00 UTC

Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle 1. Division prediction

Nord Energi Arena, Hjorring

Our model says: Vendsyssel FF 0–1 Vejle

The model makes it 26% Vendsyssel FF, 28% draw, 46% Vejle — fair odds of 3.85, 3.57 and 2.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Expected goals: Vendsyssel FF 1.06, Vejle 1.58.

Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 49%, under 2.5: 51%.

Model confidence: Medium.

One-sided: Vejle are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.

Published

Key facts

  • Vendsyssel FF are 10th on 10 points from 11 games; Vejle are 2nd on 22 points from 11 games — 1. Division.
  • Vendsyssel FF have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Kolding IF.
  • Vejle have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to Aalborg.
  • Last 6 meetings: Vejle 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 4 September 2026, ended Vejle 4–1 Vendsyssel FF.

More 1. Division (Denmark) predictions

All 1. Division (Denmark) predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle

52%
Both teams to score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

Vendsyssel FF win Draw Vejle win
  1. 1–113%
  2. 0–111%
  3. 1–29%
  4. 0–29%
  5. 0–08%
  6. 1–07%
  7. 2–16%

Scores read Vendsyssel FF first. Each bar is the model's probability of that exact result, drawn against the likeliest one; the other scorelines it considered share the remaining 37%.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Vejle at 46% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 1,906 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle

Vendsyssel FF

  • L1-2away to Kolding IF16 October 2026
  • L0-2HB Koge11 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Aalborg20 September 2026
  • D0-0Aarhus Fremad11 September 2026
  • L1-4away to Vejle4 September 2026

Vejle

  • W1-0away to Aalborg17 October 2026
  • L1-2Hvidovre9 October 2026
  • D2-2away to FC Fredericia20 September 2026
  • D0-0away to Hobro11 September 2026
  • W4-1Vendsyssel FF4 September 2026

What these results say

  • Vendsyssel FF did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Vendsyssel FF conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Vejle scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Vendsyssel FF112451118-710
2Vejle116412415+922

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: Vendsyssel FF vs Vejle

  • 4 September 2026Vejle 4–1 Vendsyssel FF1. Division
  • 15 July 2023Vejle 1–4 Vendsyssel FFFriendlies Clubs
  • 4 June 2023Vejle 4–3 Vendsyssel FF1. Division
  • 10 April 2023Vendsyssel FF 0–0 Vejle1. Division
  • 5 March 2023Vejle 1–0 Vendsyssel FF1. Division
  • 11 September 2022Vendsyssel FF 2–0 Vejle1. Division

The two sides

Vendsyssel FF carry a model rating of 6.04 against 6.39 for Vejle. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.

What the model expects

Under the hood the model expects 1.06 goals for Vendsyssel FF and 1.58 for Vejle. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.

Vendsyssel FF rate 0.42 in attack and 2.11 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Vejle rate 0.62 and 1.55.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Vendsyssel FF a 0% chance of the title and Vejle 27.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

How this was produced

Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.

Full method: how the model works.

Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Vejle the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.06 expected goals for Vendsyssel FF against 1.58 for Vejle. Vendsyssel FF's attack/defence rating is 0.42/2.11 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.55 for Vejle.

Season stats

Vendsyssel FFVejle
11Matches11
2W 4D 5LRecord6W 4D 1L
11 1.0 per gameGoals scored24 2.2 per game
18 1.6 per gameGoals conceded15 1.4 per game
3 of 11Clean sheets4 of 11
3 of 11Failed to score2 of 11
–Penalties scored1 of 1
26 2.4 per gameYellow cards12 1.1 per game
1Red cards0

Vendsyssel FF at home · Vejle away

5Played6
1W 1D 3LRecord3W 3D 0L
2–7Goals for – against8–4
2 of 5Clean sheets4 of 6

League matches only, 1. Division, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All 1. Division matches this season: Vendsyssel FF 11, Vejle 11.

Vendsyssel FF scored 012321
Vejle conceded 312433

Vendsyssel FF score most often in the 46–60 minute window (3 goals); Vejle have let in 4 there.

Vejle scored 354326
Vendsyssel FF conceded 464401

Vejle score most often in the 76–90 minute window (6 goals); Vendsyssel FF have let in 1 there.

Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.

The next 4 matches, by difficulty

Vendsyssel FF

  • at AB Copenhagen6 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 18%
  • vs Hvidovre21 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 29%
  • at Hillerød28 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 24%
  • vs Aalborg5 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 38%

Vejle

  • vs FC Fredericia6 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 43%
  • vs HB Koge21 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 58%
  • at AB Copenhagen27 Nov · 1. Divisionwin 33%
  • vs Hobro6 Dec · 1. Divisionwin 61%

Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.