Ružomberok
vs
Skalica
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: Ružomberok 1–0 Skalica
The model makes it 43% Ružomberok, 29% draw, 28% Skalica — fair odds of 2.33, 3.45 and 3.57. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: Ružomberok 1.37, Skalica 1.01.
Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 43%, under 2.5: 57%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published
Key facts
- Ružomberok are 9th on 9 points from 11 games; Skalica are 10th on 9 points from 11 games — Super Liga.
- Ružomberok have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to Komárno.
- Skalica have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to AS Trencin.
- Last 6 meetings: Skalica 4 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 1 August 2026, ended Skalica 2–1 Ružomberok.
More Slovak Super Liga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Ružomberok vs Skalica
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ružomberok at 43% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 1,906 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Ružomberok vs Skalica
Ružomberok
- W1-0away to Komárno17 October 2026
- D2-2Žilina11 October 2026
- L0-2away to FK Košice19 September 2026
- W3-0Zemplín Michalovce12 September 2026
- D1-1Spartak Trnava6 September 2026
Skalica
- L0-2AS Trencin17 October 2026
- D1-1Slovan Bratislava10 October 2026
- L0-1Podbrezová20 September 2026
- L2-3away to Dukla Banská Bystrica12 September 2026
- D0-0away to Komárno5 September 2026
What these results say
- Ružomberok scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Skalica did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Skalica conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Skalica had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Ružomberok | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
| 10 | Skalica | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Ružomberok vs Skalica
- 1 August 2026Skalica 2–1 RužomberokSuper Liga
- 16 May 2026Skalica 1–0 RužomberokSuper Liga
- 11 April 2026Ružomberok 0–0 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 1 November 2025Skalica 0–0 RužomberokSuper Liga
- 12 August 2025Ružomberok 1–3 SkalicaSuper Liga
- 19 April 2025Skalica 1–0 RužomberokSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Ružomberok and Skalica
Ružomberok
GoalsAssists
- D. Kostka10
- A. Selecký10
Skalica
GoalsAssists
- E. Daniel10
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Ružomberok carry a model rating of 6.15 against 6.15 for Skalica. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.37 goals for Ružomberok and 1.01 for Skalica. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Ružomberok rate 0.45 in attack and 1.83 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Skalica rate 0.46 and 1.87.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,973 correct results out of 4,112 settled predictions (48%), with 412 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Ružomberok the highest probability at 43%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.37 expected goals for Ružomberok against 1.01 for Skalica. Ružomberok's attack/defence rating is 0.45/1.83 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.46/1.87 for Skalica.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Ružomberok at home · Skalica away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: Ružomberok 11, Skalica 11.
Ružomberok score most often in the 16–30 minute window (3 goals); Skalica have let in 6 there.
Skalica score most often in the 46–60 minute window (4 goals); Ružomberok have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Ružomberok
- at Podbrezová8 Nov · Super Ligawin 21%
- vs Slovan Bratislava21 Nov · Super Ligawin 19%
- at Dukla Banská Bystrica28 Nov · Super Ligawin 29%
- vs AS Trencin5 Dec · Super Ligawin 43%
Skalica
- vs Žilina7 Nov · Super Ligawin 29%
- at FK Košice21 Nov · Super Ligawin 20%
- vs Zemplín Michalovce28 Nov · Super Ligawin 37%
- at Dunajska Streda5 Dec · Super Ligawin 8%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.