Ulsan Hyundai FC
vs
Jeonbuk Motors
K League 1 prediction
Our model says: Ulsan Hyundai FC 2–1 Jeonbuk Motors
The model makes it 38% Ulsan Hyundai FC, 27% draw, 35% Jeonbuk Motors — fair odds of 2.63, 3.70 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.47, Jeonbuk Motors 1.41.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%, under 2.5: 45%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,327 settled matches.
A tight game: Ulsan Hyundai FC and Jeonbuk Motors are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Ulsan Hyundai FC's rating is built from 73 K League 1 matches and Jeonbuk Motors's from 73, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 674 matches.
Key facts
- Ulsan Hyundai FC are 2nd on 57 points from 35 games; Jeonbuk Motors are 5th on 49 points from 35 games — K League 1, Championship Group.
- Ulsan Hyundai FC are unbeaten in 4 games, most recently a 2-1 win away to FC Seoul.
- Jeonbuk Motors are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Gangwon FC.
- Last 6 meetings: Jeonbuk Motors 5 wins to 1, 0 draws; the most recent, 22 August 2026, ended Jeonbuk Motors 1–0 Ulsan Hyundai FC.
More K League 1 predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Jeonbuk Motors
Has the model earned this number?
Ulsan Hyundai FC at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Jeonbuk Motors
Ulsan Hyundai FC
K League 1
- W2-1away to FC Seoul8 November 2026
- W2-1Gangwon FC1 November 2026
- D2-2Pohang Steelers24 October 2026
- W2-1Bucheon FC 199517 October 2026
- L3-4away to Gwangju FC11 October 2026
Jeonbuk Motors
K League 1
- L2-3away to Gangwon FC8 November 2026
- D0-0Daejeon Citizen31 October 2026
- D1-1away to FC Anyang24 October 2026
- W3-2Jeju United FC18 October 2026
- L1-2away to Daejeon Citizen9 October 2026
What these results say
- Ulsan Hyundai FC scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Ulsan Hyundai FC conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Ulsan Hyundai FC had three goals or more.
- Jeonbuk Motors failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Jeonbuk Motors scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Jeonbuk Motors conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai FC | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 56 | 49 | +7 | 57 |
| 5 | Jeonbuk Motors | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | +9 | 49 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Jeonbuk Motors
- 22 August 2026Jeonbuk Motors 1–0 Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1
- 11 July 2026Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–3 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1
- 4 April 2026Jeonbuk Motors 2–0 Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1
- 30 August 2025Ulsan Hyundai FC 0–2 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1
- 31 May 2025Jeonbuk Motors 3–1 Ulsan Hyundai FCK League 1
- 1 March 2025Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–0 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1
Leading scorers: Ulsan Hyundai FC and Jeonbuk Motors
Ulsan Hyundai FC
GoalsAssists
- Yago Cariello131
- Lee Dong-Gyeong1010
Jeonbuk Motors
GoalsAssists
- Tiago Orobó100
- Lee Seung-Woo44
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Ulsan Hyundai FC the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Ulsan Hyundai FC against 1.41 for Jeonbuk Motors. Ulsan Hyundai FC's attack/defence rating is 0.81/1.6 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.7/1.28 for Jeonbuk Motors.
How the model reaches 38% for Ulsan Hyundai FC to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Ulsan Hyundai FC to win. Then home advantage adds 3 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, Ulsan Hyundai FC's ratings take away 1 point and Jeonbuk Motors's ratings take away 1 point, which lands on the published 38%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage39%+3
- Both sides at this match's level40%+1
- Ulsan Hyundai FC's ratings39%−1
- Jeonbuk Motors's ratings38%−1
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Ulsan Hyundai FC at home · Jeonbuk Motors away
League matches only, K League 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All K League 1 matches this season: Ulsan Hyundai FC 35, Jeonbuk Motors 35.
Jeonbuk Motors score most often in the 76–90 minute window (15 goals); Ulsan Hyundai FC have let in 10 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 3 matches, by difficulty
Ulsan Hyundai FC
- at Daejeon Citizen6 Dec · K League 1win 28%
Jeonbuk Motors
- vs Gamba Osaka2 Dec · AFC Champions League Elitewin 46%
- vs Incheon United6 Dec · K League 1win 37%
- at Kyoto Sanga9 Feb · AFC Champions League Elitewin 33%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.