Csikszereda
vs
Universitatea Cluj
Liga I prediction
Our model says: Csikszereda 1–2 Universitatea Cluj
The model makes it 22% Csikszereda, 25% draw, 53% Universitatea Cluj — fair odds of 4.55, 4.00 and 1.89. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Csikszereda 1.07, Universitatea Cluj 1.94.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 59% of the time, over 1,486 settled matches.
One-sided: Universitatea Cluj are clearly the stronger team on the model's ratings. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 68%, 20% were drawn and the underdog won 12%.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 24 October 2026. Csikszereda's rating is built from 51 Romanian Liga I matches and Universitatea Cluj's from 53, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 738 matches.
Key facts
- Csikszereda are bottom on 2 points from 12 games; Universitatea Cluj are 5th on 22 points from 13 games — Liga I.
- Csikszereda have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Oțelul.
- Universitatea Cluj have won 3 of their last 5 games, most recently a 3-0 win away to Corvinul Hunedoara.
- Last 5 meetings: Csikszereda 3 wins to 1, 1 draw; the most recent, 14 February 2026, ended Universitatea Cluj 4–1 Csikszereda.
More Romanian Liga I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Csikszereda vs Universitatea Cluj
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Universitatea Cluj at 53% here. Across 4,534 settled matches (as of 24 October 2026), 1,113 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 56.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.5%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Csikszereda vs Universitatea Cluj
Csikszereda
Liga I
- D1-1away to Oțelul16 October 2026
- L0-1Universitatea Craiova11 October 2026
- L0-2away to Petrolul Ploiesti21 September 2026
- L1-3Dinamo Bucuresti11 September 2026
- L1-5away to Uta Arad5 September 2026
Universitatea Cluj
Liga I
- W3-0away to Corvinul Hunedoara23 October 2026
- D2-2Arges Pitesti19 October 2026
- L3-4Rapid12 October 2026
- W3-1away to CFR 1907 Cluj8 October 2026
- W2-0away to FC Voluntari20 September 2026
What these results say
- Csikszereda did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Csikszereda conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Universitatea Cluj scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Universitatea Cluj had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Csikszereda | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 2 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Csikszereda vs Universitatea Cluj
- 14 February 2026Universitatea Cluj 4–1 CsikszeredaLiga I
- 4 October 2025Csikszereda 2–1 Universitatea ClujLiga I
- 13 September 2021Csikszereda 3–1 Universitatea ClujLiga II
- 26 November 2020Csikszereda 2–1 Universitatea ClujLiga II
- 27 September 2019Csikszereda 1–1 Universitatea ClujLiga II
Leading scorers: Csikszereda and Universitatea Cluj
Csikszereda
GoalsAssists
- M. Eppel40
Universitatea Cluj
GoalsAssists
- A. Aliev62
- J. Lukić33
- O. Mendy31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Csikszereda carry a model rating of 6.12 against 6.58 for Universitatea Cluj. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.07 goals for Csikszereda and 1.94 for Universitatea Cluj. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Csikszereda rate 0.46 in attack and 1.98 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Universitatea Cluj rate 0.88 and 1.56.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Csikszereda a 0% chance of the title and Universitatea Cluj 1.7%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 2,192 correct results out of 4,558 settled predictions (48%), with 452 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Universitatea Cluj the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.07 expected goals for Csikszereda against 1.94 for Universitatea Cluj. Csikszereda's attack/defence rating is 0.46/1.98 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.88/1.56 for Universitatea Cluj.
How the model reaches 53% for Universitatea Cluj to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 35% for Universitatea Cluj to win. Then home advantage takes away 6 points, Csikszereda's ratings add 37 points and Universitatea Cluj's ratings take away 13 points, which lands on the published 53%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground35%
- Home advantage29%−6
- Csikszereda's ratings66%+37
- Universitatea Cluj's ratings53%−13
Each step adds one input to the step before. In another order the steps would differ in size; the end point would not.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Csikszereda at home · Universitatea Cluj away
League matches only, Liga I, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
CsikszeredaUniversitatea Cluj
Csikszereda are 16th after 12 Liga I matches (between 15th and 16th so far); Universitatea Cluj are 5th after 13 (between 3rd and 14th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: Csikszereda 12, Universitatea Cluj 13.
Universitatea Cluj score most often in the 76–90 minute window (7 goals); Csikszereda have let in 5 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Csikszereda
- vs Corvinul Hunedoara21 Nov · Liga Iwin 33%
- at FCSB28 Nov · Liga Iwin 16%
- vs Arges Pitesti5 Dec · Liga Iwin 30%
Universitatea Cluj
- at Farul Constanta21 Nov · Liga Iwin 39%
- vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe28 Nov · Liga Iwin 59%
- at FC Botosani5 Dec · Liga Iwin 41%
- vs CFR 1907 Cluj12 Dec · Liga Iwin 49%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.