CFR 1907 Cluj
vs
Dinamo Bucuresti
Liga I prediction
Our model says: CFR 1907 Cluj 0–1 Dinamo Bucuresti
The model makes it 33% CFR 1907 Cluj, 29% draw, 38% Dinamo Bucuresti — fair odds of 3.03, 3.45 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: CFR 1907 Cluj 1.20, Dinamo Bucuresti 1.33.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%, under 2.5: 54%.
Model confidence: Low.
Edge to Dinamo Bucuresti: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- CFR 1907 Cluj are 8th on 16 points from 11 games; Dinamo Bucuresti are top on 26 points from 11 games — Liga I.
- CFR 1907 Cluj have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-0 win away to Arges Pitesti.
- Dinamo Bucuresti are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 2-0 win away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
- Last 6 meetings: CFR 1907 Cluj 2 wins to 1, 3 draws; the most recent, 16 May 2026, ended Dinamo Bucuresti 0–0 CFR 1907 Cluj.
More Romanian Liga I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: CFR 1907 Cluj vs Dinamo Bucuresti
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dinamo Bucuresti at 38% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into CFR 1907 Cluj vs Dinamo Bucuresti
CFR 1907 Cluj
- W1-0away to Arges Pitesti12 October 2026
- L1-3Universitatea Cluj8 October 2026
- W3-1FC Botosani19 September 2026
- L1-3away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe12 September 2026
- D0-0Farul Constanta4 September 2026
Dinamo Bucuresti
- W2-0away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe9 October 2026
- W4-0Farul Constanta20 September 2026
- W3-1away to Csikszereda11 September 2026
- W2-1FCSB5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Corvinul Hunedoara29 August 2026
What these results say
- CFR 1907 Cluj scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Bucuresti went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Bucuresti scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Dinamo Bucuresti won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 |
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | +18 | 26 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
CFR 1907 Cluj
Chance to finish in the top four · 18% today
Dinamo Bucuresti
Chance to finish top of the regular season · 43% today
From our Liga I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: CFR 1907 Cluj vs Dinamo Bucuresti
- 16 May 2026Dinamo Bucuresti 0–0 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 12 April 2026CFR 1907 Cluj 1–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 9 March 2026CFR 1907 Cluj 2–0 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
- 31 October 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 2–1 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 28 April 2025Dinamo Bucuresti 1–1 CFR 1907 ClujLiga I
- 15 March 2025CFR 1907 Cluj 3–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
Leading scorers: CFR 1907 Cluj and Dinamo Bucuresti
CFR 1907 Cluj
GoalsAssists
- S. Dražić61
- A. Cordea52
Dinamo Bucuresti
GoalsAssists
- Martín Pascual50
- D. Armstrong410
- Alberto Soro42
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
CFR 1907 Cluj carry a model rating of 6.5 against 6.7 for Dinamo Bucuresti. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.20 goals for CFR 1907 Cluj and 1.33 for Dinamo Bucuresti. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
CFR 1907 Cluj rate 0.72 in attack and 1.46 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Dinamo Bucuresti rate 0.82 and 1.11.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives CFR 1907 Cluj a 0.3% chance of the title and Dinamo Bucuresti 43.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Dinamo Bucuresti the highest probability at 38%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.20 expected goals for CFR 1907 Cluj against 1.33 for Dinamo Bucuresti. CFR 1907 Cluj's attack/defence rating is 0.72/1.46 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.82/1.11 for Dinamo Bucuresti.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
CFR 1907 Cluj at home · Dinamo Bucuresti away
League matches only, Liga I, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
CFR 1907 ClujDinamo Bucuresti
CFR 1907 Cluj are 8th after 11 Liga I matches (between 3rd and 15th so far); Dinamo Bucuresti are 1st after 11 (between 1st and 14th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: CFR 1907 Cluj 11, Dinamo Bucuresti 11.
Dinamo Bucuresti score most often in the 31–45 minute window (8 goals); CFR 1907 Cluj have let in 4 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
CFR 1907 Cluj
- at Petrolul Ploiesti31 Oct · Liga Iwin 37%
- vs Universitatea Craiova7 Nov · Liga Iwin 28%
- vs Oțelul21 Nov · Liga Iwin 52%
- at FC Voluntari28 Nov · Liga Iwin 45%
Dinamo Bucuresti
- vs Uta Arad31 Oct · Liga Iwin 60%
- at Arges Pitesti7 Nov · Liga Iwin 43%
- vs Petrolul Ploiesti21 Nov · Liga Iwin 62%
- at Universitatea Craiova28 Nov · Liga Iwin 24%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.