Csikszereda
vs
FC Voluntari
Liga I prediction
Our model says: Csikszereda 2–1 FC Voluntari
The model makes it 39% Csikszereda, 28% draw, 33% FC Voluntari — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Csikszereda 1.48, FC Voluntari 1.32.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%, under 2.5: 47%.
Model confidence: Low.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Csikszereda are bottom on 1 point from 11 games; FC Voluntari are 15th on 8 points from 11 games — Liga I.
- Csikszereda have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-1 defeat at home to Universitatea Craiova.
- FC Voluntari are without a win in 3 games, most recently a 2-3 defeat away to Corvinul Hunedoara.
- Last 4 meetings: level at 2 wins each, 0 draws; the most recent, 27 August 2025, ended FC Voluntari 1–8 Csikszereda.
More Romanian Liga I predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Csikszereda vs FC Voluntari
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Csikszereda at 39% here. Across 3,660 settled matches (as of 14 October 2026), 2,861 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Csikszereda vs FC Voluntari
Csikszereda
- L0-1Universitatea Craiova11 October 2026
- L0-2away to Petrolul Ploiesti21 September 2026
- L1-3Dinamo Bucuresti11 September 2026
- L1-5away to Uta Arad5 September 2026
- L2-3CFR 1907 Cluj29 August 2026
FC Voluntari
- L2-3away to Corvinul Hunedoara9 October 2026
- L0-2Universitatea Cluj20 September 2026
- L1-2away to Rapid12 September 2026
- W1-0Arges Pitesti7 September 2026
- D2-2Oțelul28 August 2026
What these results say
- Csikszereda did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Csikszereda conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Voluntari failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Voluntari scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FC Voluntari conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Csikszereda | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 1 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
FC Voluntari
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 73% today
From our Liga I season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. Each figure is that side's chance once this match ends in a win, a draw or a defeat for it, with every other match still left to the model. Positions in the table, not competition rules: what a place is worth differs from league to league.
Head-to-head: Csikszereda vs FC Voluntari
- 27 August 2025FC Voluntari 1–8 CsikszeredaCupa României
- 26 April 2025FC Voluntari 2–0 CsikszeredaLiga II
- 27 March 2025Csikszereda 2–0 FC VoluntariLiga II
- 15 March 2025FC Voluntari 2–1 CsikszeredaLiga II
Leading scorers: Csikszereda and FC Voluntari
Csikszereda
GoalsAssists
- M. Eppel40
FC Voluntari
GoalsAssists
- R. Guțea40
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Csikszereda carry a model rating of 6.1 against 6.2 for FC Voluntari. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.48 goals for Csikszereda and 1.32 for FC Voluntari. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Csikszereda rate 0.45 in attack and 2.02 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; FC Voluntari rate 0.59 and 2.20.
Where the model differs from the table
The table and the model disagree here: the standings favour FC Voluntari, while our numbers lean the other way. The model weights recent expected goals rather than results already banked, so it moves before the table does.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,774 correct results out of 3,712 settled predictions (48%), with 376 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Csikszereda the highest probability at 39%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.48 expected goals for Csikszereda against 1.32 for FC Voluntari. Csikszereda's attack/defence rating is 0.45/2.02 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.59/2.2 for FC Voluntari.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Csikszereda at home · FC Voluntari away
League matches only, Liga I, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
CsikszeredaFC Voluntari
Csikszereda are 16th after 11 Liga I matches (between 15th and 16th so far); FC Voluntari are 15th after 11 (between 3rd and 15th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Liga I matches this season: Csikszereda 11, FC Voluntari 11.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Csikszereda
- at Rapid31 Oct · Liga Iwin 10%
- vs Universitatea Cluj7 Nov · Liga Iwin 23%
- vs Corvinul Hunedoara21 Nov · Liga Iwin 27%
- at FCSB28 Nov · Liga Iwin 16%
FC Voluntari
- vs Farul Constanta31 Oct · Liga Iwin 35%
- at Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe7 Nov · Liga Iwin 26%
- at FC Botosani21 Nov · Liga Iwin 20%
- vs CFR 1907 Cluj28 Nov · Liga Iwin 29%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.