UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 18:45 UTC

Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki

Inver Park, Larne

The model makes it 88% Coleraine FC, 8% draw, 4% HJK Helsinki — fair odds of 1.14, 12.50 and 25.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 3-0 (8%).

Expected goals: Coleraine FC 3.95, HJK Helsinki 0.93.

Both teams to score: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 86%, under 2.5: 14%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

60%
Both teams to score
86%
Over 2.5 goals
14%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines3-0 8%4-0 8%3-1 7%

Head-to-head: Coleraine FC vs HJK Helsinki

  • 23 July 2026HJK Helsinki 5–0 Coleraine FCUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Coleraine FC the highest probability at 88%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 3.95 expected goals for Coleraine FC against 0.93 for HJK Helsinki. Coleraine FC's attack/defence rating is 0.87/1.26 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.53/2.4 for HJK Helsinki.