SC Braga vs Železničar Pančevo UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: SC Braga 4-0 Železničar Pančevo.
Before kick-off the model made it 83% SC Braga, 12% draw, 5% Železničar Pančevo — fair odds of 1.20, 8.33 and 20.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Železničar Pančevo 0–1 SC Braga (22 Jul) →
SC Braga went through 5–0 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts SC Braga at 83% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 410 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 65.9% of the time, against an average forecast of 73.3%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 31BernardoG
- 2V. GomezM
- 22Sergio BarciaD
- 6Vitor CarvalhoD
- 26B. Arrey-MbiD
- 8J. MoutinhoM
- 29GorbyM
- 23D. HuseinbasicM
- 11Gabriel SilvaF
- 21R. HortaF
- 10P. VictorF
- 12T. SaG
- 78J. CarvalhoG
- 5L. LeloM
- 7TravassosD
- 9F. NavarroF
- 14G. LagerbielkeD
- 20M. DorgelesM
- 34D. E. TiknazM
- 37A. BarisicD
- 1Z. PopovicG
- 33N. DjuricicD
- 6M. Milikic
- 5N. VidojevicD
- 19U. TegeltijaD
- 20J. JevremovicM
- 26M. Amadou SaboM
- 77K. SekularacM
- 10S. PedroF
- 21D. AnkeyeF
- 11N. Jovanovic
- 66J. Miladinovic
- 3C. TchouanteD
- 12A. YusifD
- 14D. TosicM
- 16A. SawadogoD
- 17A. Kuljanin
- 18S. Wasiu
- 47Y. Sbai
- 88C. LhernaultM
Form going into SC Braga vs Železničar Pančevo
SC Braga
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Železničar Pančevo22 July 2026
Železničar Pančevo
All competitions we cover
- L0-1SC Braga22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
SC Braga and Železničar Pančevo in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SC Braga | UEFA Europa Conference League | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Železničar Pančevo | Super Liga | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 11 | +10 | 26 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · Super Liga
Head-to-head: SC Braga vs Železničar Pančevo
- 22 July 2026Železničar Pančevo 0–1 SC BragaUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: SC Braga and Železničar Pančevo
SC Braga
No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Železničar Pančevo
GoalsAssists
- D. Ankeye50
- K. Kwaku42
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SC Braga beat Železničar Pančevo 4–0. The model had made a win for SC Braga its most likely outcome, at 83%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: R. Horta (penalty) 27' for SC Braga, Gabriel Silva 44' for SC Braga, P. Victor 63' for SC Braga, F. Navarro 85' for SC Braga.