30 July 2026, 19:00 UTC

SC Braga vs Železničar Pančevo UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Braga
Full time4 – 0

Final score: SC Braga 4-0 Železničar Pančevo.

Before kick-off the model made it 83% SC Braga, 12% draw, 5% Železničar Pančevo — fair odds of 1.20, 8.33 and 20.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts SC Braga at 83% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 275 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SC Braga99%Draw1%Železničar Pančevo0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

13'
Kristian Šekularac
14'
Nikola Jovanović
25'
Zoran Popović
⚽R. Horta (pen)
27'
29'
David Ankeye
35'
Mirko Milikić
⚽Gabriel Silvaassist: R. Horta
44'
46'
🔁N. Jovanovicout: A. Kuljanin
🔁J. Moutinhoout: F. Navarro
60'
🔁D. Huseinbasicout: D. E. Tiknaz
60'
⚽Ricardo Horta (pen)
62'
63'
Nemanja Vidojević
⚽P. Victorassist: R. Horta
63'
66'
🔁D. Ankeyeout: D. Tosic
66'
🔁K. Sekularacout: Y. Sbai
🔁Gabriel Silvaout: Travassos
68'
🔁B. Arrey-Mbiout: A. Bajrami
68'
Jean-Baptiste Gorby
71'
76'
🔁S. Pedroout: S. Wasiu
76'
🔁M. Amadou Saboout: C. Lhernault
🔁R. Hortaout: M. Dorgeles
79'
83'
Clement Lhernault
⚽F. Navarroassist: P. Victor
85'

Line-ups

SC Braga 4-3-3
  • 31BernardoG
  • 2V. GomezM
  • 22Sergio BarciaD
  • 6Vitor CarvalhoD
  • 26B. Arrey-MbiD
  • 8J. MoutinhoM
  • 29GorbyM
  • 23D. HuseinbasicM
  • 11Gabriel SilvaF
  • 21R. HortaF
  • 10P. VictorF
Substitutes
  • 12T. SaG
  • 78J. CarvalhoG
  • 5L. LeloM
  • 7TravassosD
  • 9F. NavarroF
  • 14G. LagerbielkeD
  • 20M. DorgelesM
  • 34D. E. TiknazM
  • 37A. BarisicD
Coach: Carlos Vicens
Železničar Pančevo 4-3-3
  • 1Z. PopovicG
  • 33N. DjuricicD
  • 6M. Milikic
  • 5N. VidojevicD
  • 19U. TegeltijaD
  • 20J. JevremovicM
  • 26M. Amadou SaboM
  • 77K. SekularacM
  • 10S. PedroF
  • 21D. AnkeyeF
  • 11N. Jovanovic
Substitutes
  • 66J. Miladinovic
  • 3C. TchouanteD
  • 12A. YusifD
  • 14D. TosicM
  • 16A. SawadogoD
  • 17A. Kuljanin
  • 18S. Wasiu
  • 47Y. Sbai
  • 88C. LhernaultM
Coach: Radomir Kokovic

Form going into SC Braga vs Železničar Pančevo

SC Braga

  • W1-0away to Železničar Pančevo22 July 2026

Železničar Pančevo

  • L0-1SC Braga22 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

SC Braga and Železničar Pančevo in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
7SC BragaPrimeira Liga531175+210
8Železničar PančevoSuper Liga7322117+411

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Primeira Liga · Super Liga

Head-to-head: SC Braga vs Železničar Pančevo

  • 22 July 2026Železničar Pančevo 0–1 SC BragaUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: SC Braga and Železničar Pančevo

SC Braga

  • Pau Victor3 goals1 assists

Železničar Pančevo

  • K. Kwaku3 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.