UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

Auda vs FCSB

Skonto, Rīga
Full time4 1

Final score: Auda 4-1 FCSB.

Before kick-off the model made it 23% Auda, 26% draw, 51% FCSB — fair odds of 4.35, 3.85 and 1.96. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

Expected goals: Auda 0.98, FCSB 1.61.

Both teams to score: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%, under 2.5: 52%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

51%
Both teams to score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines1-1 12%0-1 12%0-2 10%

Match stats: Auda vs FCSB

Goals: B. Diedhiou 45+2' for Auda, Joao Paulo 58' for FCSB, B. Diedhiou 67' for Auda, K. Kone 84' for Auda, T. Hrvoj 90+3' for Auda.

Head-to-head: Auda vs FCSB

  • 30 July 2026Auda 4–1 FCSBUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 23 July 2026FCSB 2–3 AudaUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FCSB the highest probability at 51%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 0.98 expected goals for Auda against 1.61 for FCSB. Auda's attack/defence rating is 0.39/1.85 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.33 for FCSB.