30 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

HB Torshavn vs Motherwell UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Gundadalur, Torshavn
Full time0 – 3

Final score: HB Torshavn 0-3 Motherwell.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% HB Torshavn, 22% draw, 27% Motherwell — fair odds of 1.96, 4.55 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: Motherwell 2–0 HB Torshavn (23 Jul) →

Motherwell went through 5–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts HB Torshavn at 51% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

HB Torshavn0%Draw1%Motherwell99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

25'
⚽L. Fadinger (pen)
36'
⚽R. Charles-Cookassist: D. Williams
50'
⚽D. Williamsassist: I. Said
58'
🔁W. Vogtout: L. Ross
58'
🔁R. Charles-Cookout: E. Longelo
🔁A. Johannesenout: H. Hansen
61'
🔁D. Soyluout: M. Ebiye
61'
🔁A. Jonssonout: E. Mouritsen
61'
🔁J. Thomsenout: S. B. Pettersen
71'
73'
🔁M. Boothout: T. Maswanhise
73'
🔁L. Fadingerout: O. Whyte
🔁H. Mohrout: J. Lon
79'
80'
🔁M. Moormannout: E. Wilson

Line-ups

HB Torshavn 4-3-3
  • 1B. MorkG
  • 15H. MohrD
  • 6A. JohannesenD
  • 3P. SteiringD
  • 11A. DamM
  • 9H. SorensenM
  • 5N. MneneyM
  • 8D. SoyluM
  • 7M. VossD
  • 23J. ThomsenF
  • 22A. JonssonD
Substitutes
  • 12T. GestssonG
  • 13T. SjurdarsonG
  • 4H. HansenM
  • 18S. RadosavljevicM
  • 19E. FalkenbergF
  • 20M. EbiyeF
  • 21E. Mouritsen
  • 24S. JoensenD
  • 25S. B. PettersenF
Coach: Andre Olsen
Motherwell 4-3-3
  • 1A. PaulsenG
  • 7T. SparrowM
  • 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
  • 5M. MoormannD
  • 20D. WilliamsM
  • 27M. BoothM
  • 8L. FadingerM
  • 12O. PriestmanM
  • 77W. VogtF
  • 17R. Charles-CookF
  • 19I. SaidM
Substitutes
  • 21Matty ConnellyG
  • 31J. McConnellG
  • 18T. MaswanhiseF
  • 23E. WilsonD
  • 24L. RossF
  • 25O. WhyteM
  • 29Z. McAllisterM
  • 34A. ThomsonM
  • 36L. WeirF
Coach: Alfred Johansson

Form going into HB Torshavn vs Motherwell

HB Torshavn

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Motherwell23 July 2026

Motherwell

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0HB Torshavn23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Head-to-head: HB Torshavn vs Motherwell

  • 23 July 2026Motherwell 2–0 HB TorshavnUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: HB Torshavn and Motherwell

HB Torshavn

No leading scorers listed yet.

Motherwell

GoalsAssists

  • A. Lowry31

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Motherwell won 3–0 at HB Torshavn. The model had leaned towards a win for HB Torshavn at 51% and given a win for Motherwell 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: L. Fadinger (penalty) 25' for Motherwell, R. Charles-Cook 36' for Motherwell, D. Williams 50' for Motherwell.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.