30 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

HB Torshavn vs Motherwell UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Gundadalur, Torshavn
Full time0 – 3

Final score: HB Torshavn 0-3 Motherwell.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% HB Torshavn, 22% draw, 27% Motherwell — fair odds of 1.96, 4.55 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts HB Torshavn at 51% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

HB Torshavn0%Draw1%Motherwell99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

25'
⚽L. Fadinger (pen)
36'
⚽R. Charles-Cookassist: D. Williams
50'
⚽D. Williamsassist: I. Said
58'
🔁W. Vogtout: L. Ross
58'
🔁R. Charles-Cookout: E. Longelo
🔁A. Johannesenout: H. Hansen
61'
🔁D. Soyluout: M. Ebiye
61'
🔁A. Jonssonout: E. Mouritsen
61'
🔁J. Thomsenout: S. B. Pettersen
71'
73'
🔁M. Boothout: T. Maswanhise
73'
🔁L. Fadingerout: O. Whyte
🔁H. Mohrout: J. Lon
79'
80'
🔁M. Moormannout: E. Wilson

Line-ups

HB Torshavn 4-3-3
  • 1B. MorkG
  • 15H. MohrD
  • 6A. JohannesenD
  • 3P. SteiringD
  • 11A. DamM
  • 9H. SorensenM
  • 5N. MneneyM
  • 8D. SoyluM
  • 7M. VossD
  • 23J. ThomsenF
  • 22A. JonssonD
Substitutes
  • 12T. GestssonG
  • 13T. SjurdarsonG
  • 4H. HansenM
  • 18S. RadosavljevicM
  • 19E. FalkenbergF
  • 20M. EbiyeF
  • 21E. Mouritsen
  • 24S. JoensenD
  • 25S. B. PettersenF
Coach: Andre Olsen
Motherwell 4-3-3
  • 1A. PaulsenG
  • 7T. SparrowM
  • 3J. Girdwood-ReichD
  • 5M. MoormannD
  • 20D. WilliamsM
  • 27M. BoothM
  • 8L. FadingerM
  • 12O. PriestmanM
  • 77W. VogtF
  • 17R. Charles-CookF
  • 19I. SaidM
Substitutes
  • 21Matty ConnellyG
  • 31J. McConnellG
  • 18T. MaswanhiseF
  • 23E. WilsonD
  • 24L. RossF
  • 25O. WhyteM
  • 29Z. McAllisterM
  • 34A. ThomsonM
  • 36L. WeirF
Coach: Alfred Johansson

Form going into HB Torshavn vs Motherwell

HB Torshavn

  • L0-2away to Motherwell23 July 2026

Motherwell

  • W2-0HB Torshavn23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: HB Torshavn vs Motherwell

  • 30 July 2026HB Torshavn 0–3 MotherwellUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 23 July 2026Motherwell 2–0 HB TorshavnUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: HB Torshavn and Motherwell

HB Torshavn

No leading scorers listed yet.

Motherwell

  • Tawanda Jethro Maswanhise1 goals2 assists
  • A. Lowry1 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.