UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 17:00 UTC

HB Torshavn vs Motherwell

Torsvollur, Torshavn

Full time0 – 3

Final score: HB Torshavn 0-3 Motherwell.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% HB Torshavn, 21% draw, 26% Motherwell — fair odds of 1.89, 4.76 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (9%).

Expected goals: HB Torshavn 2.20, Motherwell 1.53.

Both teams to score: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 72%, under 2.5: 28%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

70%

Both teams to score

72%

Over 2.5 goals

28%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines2-1 9%1-1 8%2-2 7%

Head-to-head: HB Torshavn vs Motherwell

30 July 2026HB Torshavn 0–3 MotherwellUEFA Europa Conference League
23 July 2026Motherwell 2–0 HB TorshavnUEFA Europa Conference League

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives HB Torshavn the highest probability at 53%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.2 expected goals for HB Torshavn against 1.53 for Motherwell. HB Torshavn's attack/defence rating is 0.55/2.23 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.49/2.12 for Motherwell.