UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin

Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec

Full time2 – 0

Final score: FK Jablonec 2-0 NK Varazdin.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% FK Jablonec, 26% draw, 25% NK Varazdin — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: FK Jablonec 1.62, NK Varazdin 1.09.

Both teams to score: 54%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%, under 2.5: 49%.

Model confidence: Medium.

Model insights

54%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines1-1 12%1-0 10%2-1 10%

Match stats: FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin

Goals: R. Puncec (own goal) 29' for FK Jablonec, D. Pavlovic 54' for FK Jablonec.

Head-to-head: FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin

30 July 2026FK Jablonec 2–0 NK VarazdinUEFA Europa Conference League
23 July 2026NK Varazdin 3–2 FK JablonecUEFA Europa Conference League

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives FK Jablonec the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.62 expected goals for FK Jablonec against 1.09 for NK Varazdin. FK Jablonec's attack/defence rating is 0.68/1.26 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.62/1.26 for NK Varazdin.