30 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou
Full time2 – 0

Final score: FK Jablonec 2-0 NK Varazdin.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% FK Jablonec, 26% draw, 25% NK Varazdin — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FK Jablonec at 49% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 1092 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽R. Puncec (OG)
29'
46'
🔁M. Vukout: G. Sikosek
⚽D. Pavlovicassist: J. Slama
54'
54'
T. Duvnjak
58'
🔁S. Lesjakout: M. Marina
59'
🔁T. Duvnjakout: I. Mamut
🔁J. Slamaout: A. Rusek
63'
🔁F. Zorvanout: S. Nebyla
76'
A. Rusek
77'
🔁L. Jawoout: F. Vecheta
77'
L. Kozel
81'
84'
🔁L. Skaricicout: M. Mladenovski
85'
🔁I. Tavaresout: S. Juric
🔁R. Sedlacekout: D. Soucek
86'
🔁V. Chanturishviliout: H. Ahl
87'
90'
I. Canjuga

Line-ups

FK Jablonec 4-2-3-1
  • 1Jan HanušG
  • 18Martin CedidlaD
  • 4Nemanja TekijaškiD
  • 15Dušan PavlovićD
  • 20Jiří SlámaD
  • 6Nelson OkekeM
  • 13Richard SedláčekM
  • 7Vakhtang ChanturishviliM
  • 8Filip ZorvanM
  • 21Matěj PolidarM
  • 44Lamin JawoF
Substitutes
  • 9Antonín RůsekF
  • 99Klemen MihelakG
  • 14Daniel SoučekD
  • 57Filip NovákD
  • 16Hugo AhlM
  • 23Eduard SobolM
  • 42Matej MalenšekM
  • 25Sebastian NebylaM
  • 19Jan ChramostaF
Coach: Lubos Kozel
NK Varazdin 4-2-3-1
  • 33Josip SilićG
  • 23Frane MaglicaD
  • 14Roberto PunčecD
  • 5Sven LesjakD
  • 4Luka ŠkaričićD
  • 8Tomislav DuvnjakM
  • 28Ivan CanjugaF
  • 7Matej VukM
  • 22Luka MamićM
  • 38Iuri TavaresM
  • 10Aleksa LatkovićM
Substitutes
  • 20Gregor SikošekD
  • 24Mario MarinaM
  • 17Ivan MamutF
  • 1Oliver ZelenikaG
  • 13Mario MladenovskiD
  • 16Novak TepšićD
  • 30Luka PosinkovićD
  • 21Ivan PosavecM
  • 9Stipe JurićF
Coach: Nikola Safaric

Form going into FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin

FK Jablonec

  • W2-1Sigma Olomouc26 July 2026
  • L2-3away to NK Varazdin23 July 2026

NK Varazdin

  • W3-2FK Jablonec23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

FK Jablonec and NK Varazdin in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
8FK JablonecCzech Liga8413108+213
3NK VarazdinHNL7421137+614

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Czech Liga · HNL

Head-to-head: FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin

  • 30 July 2026FK Jablonec 2–0 NK VarazdinUEFA Europa Conference League
  • 23 July 2026NK Varazdin 3–2 FK JablonecUEFA Europa Conference League

Leading scorers: FK Jablonec and NK Varazdin

FK Jablonec

  • M. Cedidla3 goals

NK Varazdin

  • I. Canjuga3 goals2 assists
  • L. Mamić3 goals
  • A. Latković2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.