FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FK Jablonec 2-0 NK Varazdin.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% FK Jablonec, 26% draw, 25% NK Varazdin — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: NK Varazdin 3–2 FK Jablonec (23 Jul) →
FK Jablonec went through 4–3 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FK Jablonec at 49% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1Jan HanušG
- 18Martin CedidlaD
- 4Nemanja TekijaškiD
- 15Dušan PavlovićD
- 20Jiří SlámaD
- 6Nelson OkekeM
- 13Richard SedláčekM
- 7Vakhtang ChanturishviliM
- 8Filip ZorvanM
- 21Matěj PolidarM
- 44Lamin JawoF
- 9Antonín RůsekF
- 99Klemen MihelakG
- 14Daniel SoučekD
- 57Filip NovákD
- 16Hugo AhlM
- 23Eduard SobolM
- 42Matej MalenšekM
- 25Sebastian NebylaM
- 19Jan ChramostaF
- 33Josip SilićG
- 23Frane MaglicaD
- 14Roberto PunčecD
- 5Sven LesjakD
- 4Luka ŠkaričićD
- 8Tomislav DuvnjakM
- 28Ivan CanjugaF
- 7Matej VukM
- 22Luka MamićM
- 38Iuri TavaresM
- 10Aleksa LatkovićM
- 20Gregor SikošekD
- 24Mario MarinaM
- 17Ivan MamutF
- 1Oliver ZelenikaG
- 13Mario MladenovskiD
- 16Novak TepšićD
- 30Luka PosinkovićD
- 21Ivan PosavecM
- 9Stipe JurićF
Form going into FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin
FK Jablonec
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Sigma Olomouc26 July 2026
- L2-3away to NK Varazdin23 July 2026
NK Varazdin
All competitions we cover
- W3-2FK Jablonec23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
FK Jablonec and NK Varazdin in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | FK Jablonec | UEFA Europa Conference League | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | HNL | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 18 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · HNL
Head-to-head: FK Jablonec vs NK Varazdin
- 23 July 2026NK Varazdin 3–2 FK JablonecUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: FK Jablonec and NK Varazdin
FK Jablonec
No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
NK Varazdin
GoalsAssists
- L. Mamić40
- I. Canjuga32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FK Jablonec beat NK Varazdin 2–0. The model had made a win for FK Jablonec its most likely outcome, at 49%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: R. Puncec (own goal) 29' for FK Jablonec, D. Pavlovic 54' for FK Jablonec.