30 July 2026, 18:30 UTC

Gent vs LNZ Cherkasy UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Planet Group Arena, Gent
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Gent 0-0 LNZ Cherkasy.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% Gent, 22% draw, 21% LNZ Cherkasy — fair odds of 1.75, 4.55 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Gent at 57% here. Across 2437 settled matches, 630 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Gent6%Draw91%LNZ Cherkasy3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁L. Benesout: T. De Vlieger
46'
68'
🔁C. Davidout: A. Mykytyshyn
🔁J. Vergaraout: I. Cisse
70'
Christian Burgess
80'
🔁M. Deanout: M. Sonko
84'
🔁M. Delorge-Knieperout: A. Kadri
84'
🔁M. Ngomout: M. Volckaert
105+1'
106'
🔁M. Assinorout: D. Kravchuk
110'
🔁A. Ryabovout: Talles Brener
111'
🔁G. Pasichout: A. Kitela
🔁H. Gooreout: E. H. Seck
117'
Davy Roef
120+1'
120'
🔁Y. Pastukhout: Y. Tverdokhlib

Line-ups

Gent 4-3-3
  • 33D. RoefG
  • 5M. NgomD
  • 16C. BurgessD
  • 44S. Van Der HeydenD
  • 20T. AraujoD
  • 17M. Delorge-KnieperM
  • 22L. LopesM
  • 8L. BenesM
  • 45H. GooreF
  • 47J. VergaraF
  • 21M. DeanF
Substitutes
  • 30K. PeersmanG
  • 3M. PaskotsiD
  • 11M. SonkoF
  • 27T. De VliegerM
  • 28M. El AdfaouiM
  • 10A. OmgbaM
  • 37A. KadriM
  • 56M. Diallo
  • 57M. Volckaert
Coach: Rik De Mil
LNZ Cherkasy 4-3-3
  • 12O. PalamarchukG
  • 11G. PasichD
  • 25O. GorinD
  • 34N. MuravskyiD
  • 14O. DrambayevD
  • 8A. YakubuM
  • 19Y. PastukhM
  • 16A. RyabovM
  • 90M. AssinorF
  • 99C. DavidF
  • 17D. KuzykD
Substitutes
  • 1D. LedviyG
  • 3N. SmotrytskyiD
  • 4A. DajkoD
  • 7A. MykytyshynM
  • 9Y. TverdokhlibM
  • 75A. KitelaD
  • 77T. CaraM
  • 72K. SamoylenkoG
  • 23D. KravchukF
Coach: Vitaliy Ponomaryov

Form going into Gent vs LNZ Cherkasy

Gent

  • D0-0away to LNZ Cherkasy23 July 2026

LNZ Cherkasy

  • D0-0Gent23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Gent vs LNZ Cherkasy

  • 23 July 2026LNZ Cherkasy 0–0 GentUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.