30 July 2026, 18:30 UTC

Gent vs LNZ Cherkasy UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Planet Group Arena, Gent
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Gent 0-0 LNZ Cherkasy.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% Gent, 22% draw, 21% LNZ Cherkasy — fair odds of 1.75, 4.55 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: LNZ Cherkasy 0–0 Gent (23 Jul) →

Gent went through on penalties, after 0–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Gent at 57% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 1,294 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 57.0% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Gent6%Draw91%LNZ Cherkasy3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁L. Benesout: T. De Vlieger
46'
68'
🔁C. Davidout: A. Mykytyshyn
🔁J. Vergaraout: I. Cisse
70'
Christian Burgess
80'
🔁M. Deanout: M. Sonko
84'
🔁M. Delorge-Knieperout: A. Kadri
84'
🔁M. Ngomout: M. Volckaert
105+1'
106'
🔁M. Assinorout: D. Kravchuk
110'
🔁A. Ryabovout: Talles Brener
111'
🔁G. Pasichout: A. Kitela
🔁H. Gooreout: E. H. Seck
117'
Davy Roef
120+1'
120'
🔁Y. Pastukhout: Y. Tverdokhlib

Line-ups

Gent 4-3-3
  • 33D. RoefG
  • 5M. NgomD
  • 16C. BurgessD
  • 44S. Van Der HeydenD
  • 20T. AraujoD
  • 17M. Delorge-KnieperM
  • 22L. LopesM
  • 8L. BenesM
  • 45H. GooreF
  • 47J. VergaraF
  • 21M. DeanF
Substitutes
  • 30K. PeersmanG
  • 3M. PaskotsiD
  • 11M. SonkoF
  • 27T. De VliegerM
  • 28M. El AdfaouiM
  • 10A. OmgbaM
  • 37A. KadriM
  • 56M. Diallo
  • 57M. Volckaert
Coach: Rik De Mil
LNZ Cherkasy 4-3-3
  • 12O. PalamarchukG
  • 11G. PasichD
  • 25O. GorinD
  • 34N. MuravskyiD
  • 14O. DrambayevD
  • 8A. YakubuM
  • 19Y. PastukhM
  • 16A. RyabovM
  • 90M. AssinorF
  • 99C. DavidF
  • 17D. KuzykD
Substitutes
  • 1D. LedviyG
  • 3N. SmotrytskyiD
  • 4A. DajkoD
  • 7A. MykytyshynM
  • 9Y. TverdokhlibM
  • 75A. KitelaD
  • 77T. CaraM
  • 72K. SamoylenkoG
  • 23D. KravchukF
Coach: Vitaliy Ponomaryov

Form going into Gent vs LNZ Cherkasy

Gent

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to LNZ Cherkasy23 July 2026

LNZ Cherkasy

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0Gent23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Gent and LNZ Cherkasy in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
17GentUEFA Europa Conference League210112-13
6LNZ CherkasyPremier League10433109+115

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · Premier League

Head-to-head: Gent vs LNZ Cherkasy

  • 23 July 2026LNZ Cherkasy 0–0 GentUEFA Europa Conference League

The result against the call

Gent and LNZ Cherkasy drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Gent at 57% and given a draw 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.