UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round · 30 July 2026, 18:30 UTC

Gent vs LNZ Cherkasy

Planet Group Arena, Gent

The model makes it 59% Gent, 21% draw, 20% LNZ Cherkasy — fair odds of 1.69, 4.76 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).

Expected goals: Gent 2.19, LNZ Cherkasy 1.22.

Both teams to score: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%, under 2.5: 34%.

Model confidence: High.

Model insights

63%
Both teams to score
66%
Over 2.5 goals
34%
Under 2.5 goals
Most likely scorelines2-1 10%1-1 9%2-0 8%

Head-to-head: Gent vs LNZ Cherkasy

  • 23 July 2026LNZ Cherkasy 0–0 GentUEFA Europa Conference League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives Gent the highest probability at 59%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.19 expected goals for Gent against 1.22 for LNZ Cherkasy. Gent's attack/defence rating is 0.87/1.08 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.81/1.33 for LNZ Cherkasy.