HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki sit 3rd in the Veikkausliiga on 42 points from 25 matches, having scored 39 and conceded 29. On the model's scale they rate 0.64 in attack and 1.85 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Veikkausliiga averages of 0.56 and 1.71: above the division's average in attack, about average at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, most recently drawing with Gnistan 1-1 away. That is 1.68 points a match, scoring 1.56 and conceding 1.16 per game across 12 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats. That leaves them 6 points behind KuPS at the top, in a table of 6. Among the 6 rated sides in the division that is the 2nd-best attack and the 4th-best defence. They scored in 4 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they host VPS in the Veikkausliiga on 8 October 2026, a match the model gives them 45%.

Model rating

How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.

Next match: HJK Helsinki vs VPS

HJK Helsinki host VPS at Bolt Arena, Helsinki on 8 October 2026, 15:00 UTC. The model makes it 45% HJK Helsinki, 27% draw and 28% VPS, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1. It projects 1.87 expected goals for HJK Helsinki against 1.23. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 60%.

Full preview and model analysis for HJK Helsinki vs VPS

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