23 July 2026, 16:00 UTC

HJK Helsinki vs Coleraine FC UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Bolt Arena, Helsinki
Full time5 – 0

Final score: HJK Helsinki 5-0 Coleraine FC.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% HJK Helsinki, 35% draw, 37% Coleraine FC — fair odds of 3.57, 2.86 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. Second leg: Coleraine FC v HJK Helsinki, 30 Jul →

HJK Helsinki went through 8–0 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Coleraine FC at 37% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 3,919 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.6% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽L. Mollerassist: L. Lingman
12'
22'
🔁A. Wilsonout: K. Lyons-Foster
Alexander Ring
23'
⚽P. Mentuassist: L. Moller
32'
⚽T. Meroassist: V. Tikkanen
47'
52'
🔁L. Ivesout: D. Jarvis
52'
🔁C. McMenaminout: M. Shevlin
53'
🔁J. Hendersonout: W. Patching
53'
🔁M. Coyleout: J. Cooper
🔁P. Mentuout: T. Pukki
65'
🔁L. Mollerout: L. Lappalainen
65'
🔁A. Ringout: M. Gueye
65'
🔁S. Haaralaout: M. Kirilov
73'
⚽T. Pukkiassist: M. Kirilov
80'
🔁T. Meroout: M. Borchers
82'
⚽T. Pukkiassist: L. Lappalainen
82'

Line-ups

HJK Helsinki 4-3-3
  • 44Matej MarkovićG
  • 13Kaius SimojokiD
  • 6Ville TikkanenD
  • 3Till CissokhoD
  • 14Leonel MontanoD
  • 8Pyry MentuM
  • 4Alexander RingM
  • 10Lucas LingmanM
  • 22Liam MöllerM
  • 29Santeri HaaralaF
  • 18Toivo MeroM
Substitutes
  • 26Lassi LappalainenM
  • 32Mouhamed GueyeM
  • 20Teemu PukkiF
  • 17Martin KirilovM
  • 9Mads BorchersF
  • 1Jesse ÖstG
  • 12Mitja HaapanenG
  • 24Emil LevealahtiD
  • 28Miska YlitolvaD
Coach: Joonas Rantanen
Coleraine FC 3-5-2
  • 1Ryan SchofieldG
  • 14Mark CoyleM
  • 16Aidan WilsonD
  • 15Levi IvesD
  • 2Lyndon KaneD
  • 4Dylan BoyleM
  • 21Rowan McDonaldM
  • 22Ben WylieM
  • 23Ben DohertyD
  • 17Jay HendersonM
  • 24Conor McMenaminF
Substitutes
  • 6Kodi Lyons FosterD
  • 3Dean JarvisD
  • 9Matthew ShevlinF
  • 8William PatchingM
  • 11Joel CooperM
  • 12Lewis WebbG
  • 31Zak RobinsonG
  • 26Conrad HuntD
  • 7Lewis McGregorM
Coach: Ruaidhri Higgins

Leading scorers: HJK Helsinki and Coleraine FC

HJK Helsinki

GoalsAssists

  • M. Borchers143
  • T. Pukki43

Coleraine FC

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

HJK Helsinki beat Coleraine FC 5–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Coleraine FC at 37% and given a win for HJK Helsinki 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: L. Moller 12' for HJK Helsinki, P. Mentu 32' for HJK Helsinki, T. Mero 47' for HJK Helsinki, T. Pukki 80' for HJK Helsinki, T. Pukki 82' for HJK Helsinki.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.