Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs FC Vaduz UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 0-2 FC Vaduz.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Atlètic Club d'Escaldes, 26% draw, 43% FC Vaduz — fair odds of 3.23, 3.85 and 2.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
Second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2nd Qualifying Round tie. First leg: FC Vaduz 4–0 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes (23 Jul) →
FC Vaduz went through 6–0 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Vaduz at 43% here. Across 5,149 settled matches (as of 30 October 2026), 2,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.9%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 30Pacho CanoG
- 49Adrià GallegoD
- 3Marcos BlascoD
- 5ChinchuD
- 15Sergio RodriguezD
- 20JotaF
- 6EmanoelM
- 10Gemelson VieiraM
- 7Juan BarraganM
- 9Borja Morales OsunaF
- 8Jean LucM
- 17Sohaib BoulayouneM
- 11David Valero ClimentM
- 14Hamza RyahiM
- 22Aaron Dylan TraoreM
- 19Diego Fernandes AntunesG
- 25Matteo TallaricoG
- 1Adriá FernandezG
- 25Leon SchaffranG
- 4Nicolas HaslerD
- 27Niklas LangD
- 6Denis SimaniD
- 7Dominik SchwizerD
- 22Mischa EberhardM
- 20Luca MackM
- 23Mats HammerichM
- 28Miloš CocićF
- 19Dejan ĐokićF
- 39Dejan SorgićF
- 10Juan CabreraM
- 9Marcel MonsbergerF
- 14Mischa BeeliD
- 30Mattia WalkerM
- 37Luca CelentanoD
- 1Benjamin BüchelG
- 38Nico FöllmiG
- 5Liridon BerishaD
- 29Malik SawadogoD
Form going into Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs FC Vaduz
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
All competitions we cover
- L0-4away to FC Vaduz23 July 2026
FC Vaduz
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to FC Lugano26 July 2026
- W4-0Atlètic Club d'Escaldes23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Head-to-head: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs FC Vaduz
- 23 July 2026FC Vaduz 4–0 Atlètic Club d'EscaldesUEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes and FC Vaduz
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
No leading scorers listed yet.
FC Vaduz
GoalsAssists
- M. Monsberger61
- L. Dalipi59
- Juan Cabrera40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Vaduz won 2–0 at Atlètic Club d'Escaldes. The model had made a win for FC Vaduz its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: D. Djokic 9' for FC Vaduz, D. Simani 73' for FC Vaduz.