1 October 2026, 16:00 UTC

Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein UEFA Nations League prediction & result

Tofiq Bəhramov, Baku
Referee: Christian-Petru Ciochirca
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Azerbaijan 0-0 Liechtenstein.

Before kick-off the model made it 56% Azerbaijan, 26% draw, 18% Liechtenstein — fair odds of 1.79, 3.85 and 5.56.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Azerbaijan at 56%: of 1,421 settled 50–65% forecasts, 57.7% came in (average 55.5%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Azerbaijan6%Draw92%Liechtenstein2%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

40'
kenny kindle
41'
Lars Traber
45'
🔁kenny kindleout: Fabio Luque Notaro
🔁Rahim Sadikhovout: Aleksey Isaev
45'
🔁Tellur Mutallimovout: Rufat Abbasov
45'
47'
Alessio Hasler
Mahir Emreli
57'
🔁Emin Makhmudovout: Aykhan Guseynov
59'
🔁Musa Qurbanlyout: Rufat Abdullazada
59'
60'
🔁Alessandro Lo Russoout: Florian Allgäuer
🔁Vüsal İsgändärliout: Edqar Adilxanov
75'
77'
🔁Alessio Haslerout: Emanuel Zünd
77'
🔁Aron Seleout: Andrin·Netzer
Tural Bayramov
80'
90+2'
🔁Marcel Büchelout: S. Schlegel

Match stats — Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein

74%Possession26%
25Shots4
5On target0
6Corners0

Line-ups

Azerbaijan 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. BalayevG
  • 19T. MütəllimovD
  • 14E. BədəlovD
  • 5A. KrivotsyukD
  • 7T. BayramovD
  • 6A. XaybulayevM
  • 8E. MahmudovM
  • 10M. EmreliM
  • 21R. SadıxovM
  • 17V. İsgəndərliM
  • 9M. QurbanlıF
Substitutes
  • 16R. AbdullazadəM
  • 3R. AbbasovD
  • 2Edqar AdilxanovM
  • 12A. BayramovG
  • 18C. HüseynovD
  • 11I. HuseynovM
  • 23R. MirzəmmədovG
  • 4R. MəmmədovD
  • 22A. NuriyevM
Coach: Aykhan Abbasov
Liechtenstein 5-3-2
  • 1B. BüchelG
  • 18N. HaslerD
  • 5J. WeissenhoferD
  • 4L. TraberD
  • 23J. HoferD
  • 3M. GoppelD
  • 8A. SeleM
  • 10M. BuchelM
  • 20A. HaslerM
  • 13Kenny KindleF
  • 11Alessandro Lo RussoF
Substitutes
  • 17L. KranzM
  • 21L. Lo RussoG
  • 7Fabio Luque NotaroF
  • 14L. MeierM
  • 15A. NetzerD
  • 12J. OspeltG
  • 6S. SchlegelF
  • 22Florian AllgäuerF
  • 9William PizziF
Coach: K. Fünfstück

Form going into Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein

Azerbaijan

UEFA Nations League

  • D1-1away to Lithuania27 September 2026

Liechtenstein

UEFA Nations League

  • L0-2Lithuania24 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Azerbaijan312021+15
3Liechtenstein201102-21

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

The result against the call

Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Azerbaijan at 56% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.