The model rates their attack at 0.46× the league average and their defence at 1.76× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Next they host Lithuania in the UEFA Nations League on 24 September 2026, a match the model gives them 29%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Next match: Liechtenstein vs Lithuania
Liechtenstein host Lithuania on 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. The model makes it 29% Liechtenstein, 33% draw and 38% Lithuania, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 0.83 expected goals for Liechtenstein against 1.10. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 38% and over 2.5 goals at 30%.
Full preview and model analysis for Liechtenstein vs Lithuania