Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios Primera A prediction & result
Final score: Independiente Medellin 2-2 Millonarios.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Independiente Medellin, 30% draw, 31% Millonarios — fair odds of 2.56, 3.33 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Independiente Medellin at 39%: of 4,756 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.3% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios
Line-ups
- 25E. ChauxG
- 30H. PalaciosD
- 39L. EscorciaD
- 19A. SimarraD
- 26E. MenaD
- 14B. PerlazaM
- 6D. MorenoM
- 11Y. GonzálezM
- 21A. MarteganiM
- 20J. MontañoM
- 32C. LucumiF
- 47Jaidinson Córdoba UrrutiaD
- 10D. CatañoM
- 5J. VarelaD
- 28Andres SolanoF
- 24N. ErazoM
- 1S. IchazoG
- 4K. MantillaD
- 31D. MorenoM
- 80Heider VallecillaF
- 1J. BurraiG
- 30S. del CastilloD
- 4S. BarreiroD
- 17J. AriasD
- 20D. BangueroD
- 55LeonaiM
- 13F. ChaverraM
- 28S. VegaM
- 7J. CuadradoM
- 23L. CastroF
- 10D. RuizF
- 12J. AguirreG
- 24J. AnguloF
- 11A. EstupiñánF
- 26A. LlinásD
- 35Sebastián MosqueraF
- 25D. QuinteroM
- 14D. SilvaM
- 22Sebastián Valencia IsazaD
- 43C. UparelaD
Form going into Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios
Independiente Medellin
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Junior27 September 2026
- W2-1Jaguares22 September 2026
Millonarios
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to Atletico Nacional25 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primera A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 25 | +3 | 29 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25 | 16 | +9 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios
- 2 February 2026Millonarios 0–0 Independiente MedellinPrimera A
- 3 August 2025Independiente Medellin 1–0 MillonariosPrimera A
- 16 February 2025Millonarios 0–1 Independiente MedellinPrimera A
- 19 July 2024Independiente Medellin 1–1 MillonariosPrimera A
- 21 January 2024Millonarios 5–0 Independiente MedellinPrimera A
Leading scorers: Independiente Medellin and Millonarios
Independiente Medellin
No player in Primera A's leading scorers — 28 league goals as a side.
Millonarios
GoalsAssists
- A. Estupiñán194
- L. Castro126
- R. Contreras101
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Independiente Medellin and Millonarios drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Independiente Medellin at 39% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Luis Escorcia (own goal) 24' for Millonarios, Hayen Palacios 39' for Independiente Medellin, Leonardo Castro 45' for Millonarios, Nivaldo Yunior Erazo Hernandez 53' for Independiente Medellin.