1 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

Israel vs Kosovo UEFA Nations League prediction & result

Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen
Referee: Radu Marian Petrescu
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Israel 0-0 Kosovo.

Before kick-off the model made it 30% Israel, 29% draw, 41% Kosovo — fair odds of 3.33, 3.45 and 2.44.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Kosovo at 41%: of 2,595 settled 40–50% forecasts, 45.7% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Israel3%Draw92%Kosovo5%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

59'
🔁Dion Kacuriout: Leon Avdullahu
59'
🔁Milot Avdyliout: Dion Gallapeni
59'
🔁Muharrem Jashariout: Veldin Hodza
69'
🔁Albion Rrahmaniout: Milot Rashica
🔁Tai Bariboout: Dor Turgeman
69'
🔁Liel Abadaout: Ilay Feingold
69'
🔁Ethane Azoulayout: Oscar Gloukh
73'
77'
🔁Valmir Matoshiout: Edon Zhegrova
🔁Anan Khalailiout: Eli Dasa
77'
🔁Dor Peretzout: Gabi Kanikovski
78'

Match stats — Israel vs Kosovo

45%Possession55%
10Shots18
3On target3
4Corners5

Line-ups

Israel 3-4-2-1
  • 23A. TzurG
  • 5I. NachmiasD
  • 4R. ShlomoD
  • 13N. StoioanovD
  • 17A. KhalailiM
  • 15E. PeretzM
  • 21E. AzoulayM
  • 20L. AbadaM
  • 8Dor PeretzM
  • 10M. SolomonM
  • 9T. BariboF
Substitutes
  • 18O. GlazerG
  • 6O. GandelmanM
  • 1Daniel PeretzG
  • 14G. MizrahiD
  • 16G. KanichowskyM
  • 11O. GloukhM
  • 22S. FarhiF
  • 2E. DasaD
  • 3I. FeingoldD
Coach: R. Ben Shimon
Kosovo 4-4-2
  • 16A. SaipiG
  • 15M. VojvodaD
  • 4I. KrasniqiD
  • 5L. DellovaD
  • 3M. AvdyliD
  • 17E. KrasniqiM
  • 8V. MatoshiM
  • 19D. KacuriM
  • 22M. JashariM
  • 11F. AsllaniF
  • 9A. RrahmaniF
Substitutes
  • 10E. ZhegrovaF
  • 7M. RashicaM
  • 2R. RaciD
  • 6Erblin OsmaniM
  • 14M. KorenicaF
  • 20V. HodžaM
  • 13D. GallapeniD
  • 21L. EmërllahuM
  • 12V. BekajG
Coach: F. Foda

Form going into Israel vs Kosovo

Israel

UEFA Nations League

  • L0-3Rep. Of Ireland27 September 2026
  • L1-3away to Austria24 September 2026

Kosovo

UEFA Nations League

  • L1-3away to Austria27 September 2026
  • W1-0Rep. Of Ireland24 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Israel402227-52
2Kosovo412134-15

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Israel vs Kosovo

  • 12 November 2023Kosovo 1–0 IsraelEuro Championship - Qualification
  • 25 March 2023Israel 1–1 KosovoEuro Championship - Qualification

The result against the call

Israel and Kosovo drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Kosovo at 41% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.