Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Rep. Of Ireland 2-2 Austria.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Rep. Of Ireland, 30% draw, 29% Austria — fair odds of 2.44, 3.33 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Rep. Of Ireland at 41%: of 2,595 settled 40–50% forecasts, 45.7% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria
Line-ups
- 1C. KelleherG
- 4D. O'SheaD
- 15J. EganD
- 3L. ScalesD
- 2J. AbankwahM
- 11F. AzazM
- 14C. CoventryM
- 18R. ManningM
- 17J. MoylanM
- 10A. IdahM
- 7T. ParrottF
- 12L. KitchingD
- 19O. EldingF
- 23M. O’LearyG
- 5J. O'BrienD
- 6J. MolumbyM
- 16G. BazunuG
- 20C. OgbeneF
- 8J. KnightM
- 22K. PhillipsM
- 12F. WiegeleG
- 5S. PoschD
- 2D. AffengruberD
- 15P. LienhartD
- 16P. MweneD
- 6N. SeiwaldM
- 4X. SchlagerM
- 21P. WimmerM
- 17C. ChukwuemekaM
- 18R. SchmidM
- 9S. KalajdzicF
- 14M. WöberD
- 1A. SchlagerG
- 22A. PrassD
- 7C. LangM
- 19M. GrüllF
- 11M. GregoritschF
- 23M. FriedlD
- 13M. BignettiG
- 3F. BacherD
Form going into Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria
Rep. Of Ireland
UEFA Nations League
- W3-0away to Israel27 September 2026
- L0-1away to Kosovo24 September 2026
Austria
UEFA Nations League
- W3-1Kosovo27 September 2026
- W3-1Israel24 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rep. Of Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 5 |
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rep. Of Ireland vs Austria
- 11 June 2017Rep. Of Ireland 1–1 AustriaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
- 12 November 2016Austria 0–1 Rep. Of IrelandWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
Leading scorers: Rep. Of Ireland and Austria
Rep. Of Ireland
GoalsAssists
- T. Parrott40
Austria
No player in UEFA Nations League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rep. Of Ireland and Austria drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Rep. Of Ireland at 41% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Troy Parrott 12' for Rep. Of Ireland, Troy Parrott (penalty) 45' for Rep. Of Ireland, Alexander Prass 71' for Austria, Michael Gregoritsch 77' for Austria.