Anderlecht
vs
KVC Westerlo
Jupiler Pro League prediction
Our model says: Anderlecht 2–1 KVC Westerlo
The model makes it 46% Anderlecht, 25% draw, 29% KVC Westerlo — fair odds of 2.17, 4.00 and 3.45. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Anderlecht 1.90, KVC Westerlo 1.40.
Both teams to score: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 64%, under 2.5: 36%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Anderlecht are 5th on 16 points from 8 games; KVC Westerlo are 6th on 13 points from 8 games — Jupiler Pro League.
- Anderlecht are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 2-1 win away to Cercle Brugge.
- KVC Westerlo are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 5-1 win at home to Antwerp.
- Last 6 meetings: Anderlecht 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 7 December 2025, ended KVC Westerlo 4–0 Anderlecht.
More Jupiler Pro League predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Anderlecht at 46% here. Across 4,088 settled matches (as of 18 October 2026), 1,906 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 45.7% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo
Anderlecht
- W2-1away to Cercle Brugge10 October 2026
- W3-0Zulte Waregem19 September 2026
- W1-0away to KV Mechelen11 September 2026
- D0-0Genk6 September 2026
- W1-0Kortrijk3 September 2026
KVC Westerlo
- W5-1Antwerp11 October 2026
- W2-0away to St. Truiden20 September 2026
- W4-2Standard Liege12 September 2026
- W4-0away to KV Mechelen5 September 2026
- D2-2Zulte Waregem30 August 2026
What these results say
- Anderlecht went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Anderlecht won 4 of these 5 matches.
- Anderlecht scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- KVC Westerlo went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- KVC Westerlo scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- KVC Westerlo won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | KVC Westerlo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo
- 7 December 2025KVC Westerlo 4–0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 27 July 2025Anderlecht 5–2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- 9 March 2025KVC Westerlo 2–0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 5 December 2024Anderlecht 4–1 KVC WesterloCup
- 14 September 2024Anderlecht 2–2 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
- 1 December 2023KVC Westerlo 1–3 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: Anderlecht and KVC Westerlo
Anderlecht
GoalsAssists
- T. Bentayeb31
KVC Westerlo
GoalsAssists
- N. Bassette50
- S. Saito31
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Anderlecht carry a model rating of 6.82 against 6.8 for KVC Westerlo. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.90 goals for Anderlecht and 1.40 for KVC Westerlo. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Anderlecht rate 0.94 in attack and 0.99 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; KVC Westerlo rate 1.10 and 1.25.
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Anderlecht a 0.5% chance of the title and KVC Westerlo 0.1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,962 correct results out of 4,088 settled predictions (48%), with 410 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
Once the match starts, the win probabilities at the top update live from the score, the clock and any sendings-off.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Anderlecht the highest probability at 46%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.90 expected goals for Anderlecht against 1.40 for KVC Westerlo. Anderlecht's attack/defence rating is 0.94/0.99 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 1.1/1.25 for KVC Westerlo.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Anderlecht at home · KVC Westerlo away
League matches only, Jupiler Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Position by match
AnderlechtKVC Westerlo
Anderlecht are 5th after 8 Jupiler Pro League matches (between 5th and 11th so far); KVC Westerlo are 6th after 8 (between 6th and 18th). Rebuilt from the season's results after each side's matches (x-axis: that side's match number); ties split on goal difference, then goals scored.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Jupiler Pro League matches this season: Anderlecht 8, KVC Westerlo 8.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Anderlecht
- vs Red Bull Salzburg5 Nov · UEFA Europa Leaguewin 47%
- at Club Brugge KV8 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 13%
- vs OH Leuven22 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 54%
KVC Westerlo
- vs Charleroi7 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 39%
- at Cercle Brugge20 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 34%
- vs RAAL La Louvière28 Nov · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 61%
- at Club Brugge KV13 Dec · Jupiler Pro Leaguewin 11%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.