Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
vs
Al Ain
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1–2 Al Ain
The model makes it 35% Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, 28% draw, 37% Al Ain — fair odds of 2.86, 3.57 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Expected goals: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1.47, Al Ain 1.56.
Both teams to score: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%, under 2.5: 42%.
Model confidence: Low.
A tight game: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al Ain are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Key facts
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai are 3rd on 10 points from 5 games; Al Ain are 2nd on 13 points from 5 games — Pro League.
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai have won 3 of their last 5, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Dubai United.
- Al Ain are unbeaten in their last 5 (4 won), most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Al-Wasl FC.
- Last 6 meetings: Al Ain 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 10 April 2026, ended Al Ain 3–2 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.
All UAE Pro League predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al Ain at 37% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 2,313 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.2% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.6%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
- D1-1away to Dubai United10 September 2026
- L1-3Al-Jazira5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Al-Wasl FC28 August 2026
- W2-0Al-Dhafra22 August 2026
- W5-1away to Khorfakkan15 August 2026
Al Ain
- D2-2Al-Wasl FC10 September 2026
- W2-0away to Al-Ittihad Kalba4 September 2026
- W2-1Al Nasr29 August 2026
- W2-0Khorfakkan22 August 2026
- W4-2away to Baniyas SC16 August 2026
What these results say
- Shabab Al Ahli Dubai scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al Ain went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Al Ain scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al Ain won 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | Al Ain | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai vs Al Ain
- 10 April 2026Al Ain 3–2 Shabab Al Ahli DubaiPro League
- 25 September 2025Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0–1 Al AinPro League
- 7 April 2025Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0–0 Al AinPro League
- 10 January 2025Al Ain 0–1 Shabab Al Ahli DubaiPro League
- 27 April 2024Al Ain 1–2 Shabab Al Ahli DubaiPro League
- 26 November 2023Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0–3 Al AinPro League
Leading scorers: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and Al Ain
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Al Ain
- Abdoul Karim Traoré2 goals
- Rami Rabia1 goal1 assist
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
Two sides the ratings cannot separate
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai carry a model rating of 6.68 against 6.76 for Al Ain. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.47 goals for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai and 1.56 for Al Ain. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai rate 0.83 in attack and 1.16 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Al Ain rate 0.89 and 1.06.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al Ain the highest probability at 37%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.47 expected goals for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai against 1.56 for Al Ain. Shabab Al Ahli Dubai's attack/defence rating is 0.83/1.16 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.89/1.06 for Al Ain.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai at home · Al Ain away
League matches only, Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 5, Al Ain 5.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai score most often in the 76–90 minute window (5 goals); Al Ain have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
- vs Esteghlal FC27 Oct · AFC Champions League Elitewin 52%
- vs Al-Ittihad Kalba30 Oct · Pro Leaguewin 60%
- at Al-Hilal3 Nov · AFC Champions League Elitewin 16%
- at Sharjah FC7 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 49%
Al Ain
- vs Tractor Sazi26 Oct · AFC Champions League Elitewin 59%
- vs Ajman29 Oct · Pro Leaguewin 58%
- at Al-Ittihad2 Nov · AFC Champions League Elitewin 31%
- at Al Wahda FC8 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 47%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.