Baniyas SC
vs
Al-Wasl FC
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Baniyas SC 1–2 Al-Wasl FC
The model makes it 24% Baniyas SC, 26% draw, 50% Al-Wasl FC — fair odds of 4.17, 3.85 and 2.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2 (10%).
Expected goals: Baniyas SC 1.11, Al-Wasl FC 2.11.
Both teams to score: 59%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%, under 2.5: 38%.
Model confidence: High.
Published · updated
Key facts
- Baniyas SC are bottom on 1 point from 5 games; Al-Wasl FC are 4th on 10 points from 5 games — Pro League.
- Baniyas SC have not won in their last 5, most recently a 0-0 draw away to Khorfakkan.
- Al-Wasl FC have won 3 of their last 5, most recently a 2-2 draw away to Al Ain.
- Last 6 meetings: Al-Wasl FC 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 7 March 2026, ended Baniyas SC 2–0 Al-Wasl FC.
All UAE Pro League predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al-Wasl FC at 50% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 691 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 53.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.4%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC
Baniyas SC
- D0-0away to Khorfakkan11 September 2026
- L0-1Hatta SC5 September 2026
- L1-2away to Al Wahda FC30 August 2026
- L2-3Dubai United23 August 2026
- L2-4Al Ain16 August 2026
Al-Wasl FC
- D2-2away to Al Ain10 September 2026
- W5-2Khorfakkan4 September 2026
- L0-1Shabab Al Ahli Dubai28 August 2026
- W3-0away to Al-Ittihad Kalba21 August 2026
- W5-1Dubai United15 August 2026
What these results say
- Baniyas SC did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Baniyas SC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Al-Wasl FC scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Al-Wasl FC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Al-Wasl FC had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Baniyas SC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 1 |
| 4 | Al-Wasl FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Baniyas SC vs Al-Wasl FC
- 7 March 2026Baniyas SC 2–0 Al-Wasl FCPro League
- 17 August 2025Al-Wasl FC 2–0 Baniyas SCPro League
- 20 May 2025Al-Wasl FC 3–1 Baniyas SCPro League
- 11 January 2025Baniyas SC 0–0 Al-Wasl FCPro League
- 30 December 2024Baniyas SC 0–0 Al-Wasl FCLeague Cup
- 22 December 2024Al-Wasl FC 3–1 Baniyas SCLeague Cup
Leading scorers: Baniyas SC and Al-Wasl FC
Baniyas SC
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Al-Wasl FC
- Renato Júnior3 goals
- N. Giménez3 goals
- Serginho2 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Baniyas SC carry a model rating of 6.24 against 6.61 for Al-Wasl FC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
The model expects goals
Under the hood the model expects 1.11 goals for Baniyas SC and 2.11 for Al-Wasl FC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Baniyas SC rate 0.51 in attack and 1.74 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Al-Wasl FC rate 0.80 and 1.30.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al-Wasl FC the highest probability at 50%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.11 expected goals for Baniyas SC against 2.11 for Al-Wasl FC. Baniyas SC's attack/defence rating is 0.51/1.74 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.8/1.3 for Al-Wasl FC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Baniyas SC at home · Al-Wasl FC away
League matches only, Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Baniyas SC 5, Al-Wasl FC 5.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Baniyas SC
- at Al-Jazira1 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 20%
- at Ajman8 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 31%
- vs Al Nasr21 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 31%
- at Al-Dhafra5 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 39%
- vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai12 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 22%
Al-Wasl FC
- at Al-Nassr26 Oct · AFC Champions League Elitewin 18%
- vs Al-Dhafra30 Oct · Pro Leaguewin 60%
- vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya2 Nov · AFC Champions League Elitewin 70%
- at Al-Jazira8 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 33%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.