Al Nasr
vs
Hatta SC
Pro League prediction
Our model says: Al Nasr 2–1 Hatta SC
The model makes it 48% Al Nasr, 27% draw, 25% Hatta SC — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Expected goals: Al Nasr 1.97, Hatta SC 1.08.
Both teams to score: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 59%, under 2.5: 41%.
Model confidence: Medium.
Published
Key facts
- Al Nasr are 9th on 5 points from 5 games; Hatta SC are 13th on 3 points from 5 games — Pro League.
- Al Nasr are without a win in 3, most recently a 1-1 draw away to Al-Jazira.
- Hatta SC have won 1 of their last 5, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Al-Dhafra.
- Last 5 meetings: Al Nasr 5 wins to 0, 0 draws; the most recent, 28 March 2024, ended Al Nasr 1–0 Hatta SC.
All UAE Pro League predictions →
Live win probability
From kick-offThese update every few seconds once the match kicks off, as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards. The second figure is fair odds — 100 ÷ probability, the price with no margin in it.
Model insights: Al Nasr vs Hatta SC
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Al Nasr at 48% here. Across 2,959 settled matches (as of 3 October 2026), 1,375 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.8% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Al Nasr vs Hatta SC
Al Nasr
- D1-1away to Al-Jazira10 September 2026
- L1-2Ajman6 September 2026
- L1-2away to Al Ain29 August 2026
- W1-0Al Wahda FC21 August 2026
- D2-2Al-Ittihad Kalba14 August 2026
Hatta SC
- L1-2Al-Dhafra11 September 2026
- W1-0away to Baniyas SC5 September 2026
- L0-3Sharjah FC30 August 2026
- L3-4away to Ajman22 August 2026
- L0-2Al-Jazira16 August 2026
What these results say
- Al Nasr scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Al Nasr failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Al Nasr conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hatta SC failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Hatta SC conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model rates each side on its goals over this season and last, adjusted for the opposition, rather than on these results alone, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al Nasr | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Hatta SC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Nasr vs Hatta SC
- 28 March 2024Al Nasr 1–0 Hatta SCPro League
- 28 September 2023Hatta SC 0–3 Al NasrPro League
- 26 February 2021Al Nasr 2–0 Hatta SCPro League
- 8 November 2020Hatta SC 0–3 Al NasrPro League
- 19 December 2019Hatta SC 1–2 Al NasrPro League
Leading scorers: Al Nasr and Hatta SC
Al Nasr
- C. Bedia2 goals
Hatta SC
No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.
The two sides
Al Nasr carry a model rating of 6.4 against 6.15 for Hatta SC. The scale is anchored so that an average side in one of Europe's big five leagues sits at 6.85, and it is adjusted for the strength of each team's league, so the two numbers are comparable even across borders.
What the model expects
Under the hood the model expects 1.97 goals for Al Nasr and 1.08 for Hatta SC. Those two numbers, not the scoreline, are what the model actually estimates; everything else is derived from them.
Al Nasr rate 0.59 in attack and 1.46 in defence, where 1 is league average and a lower defensive number is better; Hatta SC rate 0.49 and 2.00.
How this was produced
Publicly tracked record so far: 1,381 correct results out of 2,964 settled predictions (47%), with 285 exact scorelines (10%). That log is updated automatically after every match and is never edited.
Full method: how the model works.
From the first whistle this page keeps going: the win probabilities at the top are recalculated as the match plays out, reading the score, the clock and any sendings-off. The same model, asked how many goals are left rather than how many there will be.
Team comparison
Bars show each side's share of the two-team total, based on the model's attack/defence ratings and expected goals for this fixture.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Al Nasr the highest probability at 48%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.97 expected goals for Al Nasr against 1.08 for Hatta SC. Al Nasr's attack/defence rating is 0.59/1.46 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.49/2 for Hatta SC.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line. Middle ring: the model's own probability for this match, from the same expected goals as the prediction above. Past matches are context; the middle ring is the estimate. Not betting advice.
Season stats
Al Nasr at home · Hatta SC away
League matches only, Pro League, this season. Rates are per game, since the two sides have not always played the same number; the tinted figure is the better one, where better is not a matter of taste. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Pro League matches this season: Al Nasr 5, Hatta SC 5.
Al Nasr score most often in the 61–75 minute window (2 goals); Hatta SC have let in 1 there.
Hatta SC score most often in the 31–45 minute window (2 goals); Al Nasr have let in 0 there.
Each cell counts the league goals that went in during that 15-minute window. Each side's goals sit above the goals its opponent has let in over the same minutes; the darker the cell, the more goals in that window. Stoppage time counts in the last window of its half. Source: API-Football season statistics, refreshed after each league match; own goals are not always counted on the same side as in the table, so a row can be a goal off it. Context, not a prediction.
The next 5 matches, by difficulty
Al Nasr
- at Sharjah FC1 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 36%
- vs Dubai United8 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 40%
- at Baniyas SC21 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 40%
- vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai4 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 27%
- at Al-Dhafra13 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 45%
Hatta SC
- at Al Wahda FC1 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 24%
- vs Khorfakkan7 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 35%
- at Al-Wasl FC19 Nov · Pro Leaguewin 18%
- vs Al-Ittihad Kalba5 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 36%
- at Al Ain12 Dec · Pro Leaguewin 14%
Each side's next matches on our board after this one. The colour is how strong the opponent is, from easier to harder as on the scale above: its model rating ranked among the teams of that competition, in fifths, so bright red is the top fifth whoever is playing it. The win figure is this side's own chance in that match, which is where venue and its own level come in. A match already on our board links to its own prediction; the rest follow as their week comes up.