Stenhousemuir sit 1st in the Championship on 22 points from 8 matches, having scored 12 and conceded 2. On the model's scale they rate 0.51 in attack and 1.37 in defence (1.00 = an average top-flight side, lower defence is better), against Championship averages of 0.47 and 2.12: about average in attack, above it at the back. Across their last 5 league matches they have 5 wins, most recently beating Ayr Utd 1-0 away. That is 2.75 points a match, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.25 per game across 7 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. They lead the 10-team table, 8 points clear of Raith Rovers. Among the 10 rated sides in the division that is the 5th-best attack and the 1st-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they travel to Inverness CT in the Championship on 10 October 2026, a match the model gives them 40%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, on one scale across every league we cover: 1.00 is an average top-flight side, so clubs in lower divisions read below it — how the ratings are built.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Last 5 | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | +10 | WWWWW | 22 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | +6 | LWWDL | 14 |
| 3 | Livingston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:7 | +5 | LLWDW | 13 |
| 4 | Partick | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:2 | +3 | DDWLD | 12 |
| 5 | Dunfermline | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | LWDWW | 12 |
| 6 | Arbroath | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | WDLLW | 11 |
| 7 | Inverness CT | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | LLWDW | 10 |
| 8 | Ayr Utd | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | DLLWL | 8 |
| 9 | Queen's Park | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4:13 | -9 | DWLLL | 4 |
| 10 | Morton | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:15 | -11 | DLLLL | 1 |
- Promotion to Premiership
- Promotion play-offs
- Relegation
Stenhousemuir sit 1 of 10, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W1-0away to Ayr Utd25 September 2026
- W1-0Arbroath19 September 2026
- W1-0Partick15 September 2026
- W1-0away to Livingston4 September 2026
- W3-1Inverness CT29 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT
Stenhousemuir travel to Inverness CT at Tulloch Caledonian Stadium, Inverness on 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. The model makes it 40% Stenhousemuir, 30% draw and 30% Inverness CT, with a most likely scoreline of 0-1. It projects 1.39 expected goals for Stenhousemuir against 1.05. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 49% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.
Full preview and model analysis for Stenhousemuir vs Inverness CT
Recent meetings with Inverness CT
- 29 August 2026Stenhousemuir 3–1 Inverness CTChampionship
- 11 April 2026Stenhousemuir 1–1 Inverness CTLeague One
- 21 February 2026Inverness CT 1–1 StenhousemuirLeague One
- 27 January 2026Inverness CT 1–0 StenhousemuirChallenge Cup
- 20 December 2025Stenhousemuir 1–0 Inverness CTLeague One
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.